Basketball · Israel Super League · 14/11, 17:30
Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Herzliya
Team pages: Hapoel Tel Aviv · Bnei Herzliya
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.9Total
Hapoel Tel Aviv96.2
Bnei Herzliya79.7
1X2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Bnei Herzliya
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Tel Aviv
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Bnei Herzliya
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Tel Aviv
6–0
Bnei Herzliya
(6 last)
- Bnei Herzliya86-94Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Bnei Herzliya91-95Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv97-79Bnei Herzliya
- Bnei Herzliya80-82Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv99-80Bnei Herzliya
- Hapoel Tel Aviv105-87Bnei Herzliya
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1566 · Bnei Herzliya 1439
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Bnei Herzliya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.9 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.9Hapoel Tel Aviv 96.2 · Bnei Herzliya 79.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Tel Aviv (rating 1566 vs 1439).
- Hapoel Tel Aviv is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Hapoel Tel Aviv: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | Bnei Herzliya | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85 / 82.6 | 87.3 / 97.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84 / 77.8 | 87.4 / 90 |
| Est. result | 96 | 80 |
Est. total175.9
Line O/U175.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Tel Aviv 6–0–0 Bnei Herzliya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 Israel Super League | Bnei Herzliya | 86-94 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 22/03/25 Israel Super League | Bnei Herzliya | 91-95 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 19/10/24 Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 97-79 | Bnei Herzliya |
| 01/05/24 Israel Super League | Bnei Herzliya | 80-82 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 05/03/24 Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 99-80 | Bnei Herzliya |
| 25/03/23 Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 105-87 | Bnei Herzliya |
Standings · Israel Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 5 | 5 | 0 | 403 | 340 | 10 |
| 2 | Maccabi Rishon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 408 | 390 | 8 |
| 3 | Hapoel Galil Elyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 458 | 470 | 8 |
| 4 | Hapoel Eilat | 5 | 3 | 2 | 426 | 419 | 8 |
| 5 | Ironi Nes Ziona | 5 | 3 | 2 | 429 | 400 | 8 |
| 6 | Ironi Ramat Gan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 427 | 445 | 8 |
| 7 | Maccabi Ashdod | 5 | 2 | 3 | 372 | 384 | 7 |
| 8 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 1 | 341 | 306 | 7 |
| 9 | Elitzur Kiryat Ata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 441 | 489 | 7 |
| 10 | Bnei Herzliya | 5 | 2 | 3 | 437 | 450 | 7 |
| 11 | Hapoel Holon | 5 | 1 | 4 | 400 | 433 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 5 | 1 | 4 | 409 | 450 | 6 |
| 13 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4 | 2 | 2 | 413 | 380 | 6 |
| 14 | Hapoel Haemek | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 375 | 6 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Bnei Herzliya |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 105-87 W | 75-137 L |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 81-67 W | 72-75 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Tel Aviv (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
105-87 | W |
| 25/10 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
60-70 | L |
| 18/10 | Maccabi Ashdod Israel Super League |
81-67 | W |
| 11/10 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Super League |
95-82 | W |
| 23/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
79-83 | L |
| 21/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
80-74 | W |
| 18/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
98-102 | L |
| 16/06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
75-96 | L |
| 11/06 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
89-81 | W |
| 09/06 | Hapoel Jerusalem Israel Super League |
88-84 | W |
Bnei Herzliya
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Maccabi Ashdod Israel Super League |
72-75 | L |
| 01/11 | Elitzur Kiryat Ata Israel Super League |
87-97 | L |
| 26/10 | Hapoel Eilat Israel Super League |
96-93 | W |
| 18/10 | Ironi Nes Ziona Israel Super League |
103-96 | W |
| 12/10 | Ironi Ramat Gan Israel Super League |
79-89 | L |
| 03/06 | Hapoel Holon Israel Super League |
84-99 | L |
| 01/06 | Hapoel Holon Israel Super League |
73-84 | L |
| 25/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Super League |
75-137 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Haemek Israel Super League |
96-94 | W |
| 11/05 | Elitzur Netanya Israel Super League |
108-107 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Herzliya?
Our model gives 88% to Hapoel Tel Aviv.
How many points are expected in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Herzliya?
The model estimates 175.9 total points (Hapoel Tel Aviv 96.2 · Bnei Herzliya 79.7).