Basketball · Slovenia SKL · 13/11, 19:00
Prediction: Zlatorog Lasko vs Hopsi Polzela
Team pages: Zlatorog Lasko · Hopsi Polzela
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.4Total
Zlatorog Lasko76.7
Hopsi Polzela81.7
1X2
Zlatorog Lasko
Hopsi Polzela
Markets
Under 157.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Zlatorog Lasko
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Hopsi Polzela
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zlatorog Lasko
2–4
Hopsi Polzela
(6 last)
- Hopsi Polzela87-67Zlatorog Lasko
- Hopsi Polzela107-94Zlatorog Lasko
- Zlatorog Lasko106-90Hopsi Polzela
- Hopsi Polzela89-87Zlatorog Lasko
- Zlatorog Lasko92-90Hopsi Polzela
- Hopsi Polzela89-76Zlatorog Lasko
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zlatorog Lasko 1430 · Hopsi Polzela 1570
| Zlatorog Lasko | Hopsi Polzela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.4 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.4Zlatorog Lasko 76.7 · Hopsi Polzela 81.7
Over / Under 157.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~150.9 pts · strength 7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hopsi Polzela (rating 1430 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Hopsi Polzela: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Zlatorog Lasko | Hopsi Polzela | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 71.3 / 79.8 | 81.1 / 76.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 70 / 76.2 | 83.2 / 81 |
| Est. result | 77 | 82 |
Est. total158.4
Line O/U157.5
Diff.0.9
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zlatorog Lasko 2–0–4 Hopsi Polzela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Slovenia SKL | Hopsi Polzela | 87-67 | Zlatorog Lasko |
| 10/01/26 Slovenia SKL | Hopsi Polzela | 107-94 | Zlatorog Lasko |
| 16/12/25 Slovenia Cup | Zlatorog Lasko | 106-90 | Hopsi Polzela |
| 09/12/25 Slovenia Cup | Hopsi Polzela | 89-87 | Zlatorog Lasko |
| 18/10/25 Slovenia SKL | Zlatorog Lasko | 92-90 | Hopsi Polzela |
| 17/12/24 Slovenia Cup | Hopsi Polzela | 89-76 | Zlatorog Lasko |
Standings · Slovenia SKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krka | 8 | 8 | 0 | 723 | 550 | 16 |
| 2 | Ilirija | 8 | 6 | 2 | 672 | 589 | 14 |
| 3 | KK Sencur | 7 | 5 | 2 | 601 | 557 | 12 |
| 4 | Hopsi Polzela | 7 | 5 | 2 | 577 | 513 | 12 |
| 5 | Nova Gorica Mladi | 8 | 4 | 4 | 606 | 619 | 12 |
| 6 | Rogaska | 7 | 3 | 4 | 473 | 554 | 10 |
| 7 | Zlatorog Lasko | 7 | 3 | 4 | 483 | 527 | 10 |
| 8 | Helios Domzale | 7 | 1 | 6 | 501 | 564 | 8 |
| 9 | Triglav | 6 | 1 | 5 | 461 | 495 | 7 |
| 10 | Tajfun Sentjur | 7 | 0 | 7 | 479 | 608 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zlatorog Lasko | Hopsi Polzela |
|---|---|---|
| KK Sencur | 60-73 L | 81-96 L |
| Rogaska | 60-69 L | 87-49 W |
| Helios Domzale | 75-73 W | 74-59 W |
| Tajfun Sentjur | 86-73 W | 84-67 W |
| Krka | 61-77 L | 79-93 L |
| Triglav | 72-69 W | 98-82 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hopsi Polzela (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zlatorog Lasko
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
60-73 | L |
| 31/10 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
60-69 | L |
| 24/10 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
75-73 | W |
| 14/10 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
69-93 | L |
| 11/10 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
86-73 | W |
| 29/09 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
61-77 | L |
| 26/09 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
72-69 | W |
| 17/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
74-106 | L |
| 09/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
76-89 | L |
| 04/05 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
80-76 | W |
Hopsi Polzela
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
79-93 | L |
| 31/10 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
98-82 | W |
| 24/10 | Nova Gorica Mladi Slovenia SKL |
74-67 | W |
| 17/10 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
84-67 | W |
| 09/10 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
81-96 | L |
| 03/10 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
87-49 | W |
| 26/09 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
74-59 | W |
| 10/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
80-86 | L |
| 07/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
58-94 | L |
| 04/05 | Terme Olimia Podcetrtek Slovenia SKL |
96-68 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zlatorog Lasko vs Hopsi Polzela?
Our model gives 64% to Hopsi Polzela.
How many points are expected in Zlatorog Lasko vs Hopsi Polzela?
The model estimates 158.4 total points (Zlatorog Lasko 76.7 · Hopsi Polzela 81.7).
Over or under 157.5 points?
Recent history points to under 157.5 points (65%).