Basketball · Slovenia SKL · 28/10, 18:00
Prediction: Ilirija vs Helios Domzale
Team pages: Ilirija · Helios Domzale
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.7Total
Ilirija85.7
Helios Domzale72.9
1X2
Ilirija
Helios Domzale
Recent form · 10 last
Ilirija
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Helios Domzale
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ilirija
5–1
Helios Domzale
(6 last)
- Helios Domzale72-74Ilirija
- Ilirija87-64Helios Domzale
- Ilirija94-83Helios Domzale
- Helios Domzale77-64Ilirija
- Helios Domzale77-83Ilirija
- Ilirija82-65Helios Domzale
Model analysis
Estimated points158.7Ilirija 85.7 · Helios Domzale 72.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilirija (rating 1531 vs 1355).
- Ilirija is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours Ilirija: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ilirija | Helios Domzale | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.5 / 76.7 | 69.8 / 82.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 70.4 | 65.8 / 81.6 |
| Est. result | 86 | 73 |
Est. total158.7
Line O/U160
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilirija 5–0–1 Helios Domzale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Club Friendlies | Helios Domzale | 72-74 | Ilirija |
| 16/04/26 Slovenia SKL | Ilirija | 87-64 | Helios Domzale |
| 07/01/26 Slovenia SKL | Ilirija | 94-83 | Helios Domzale |
| 15/10/25 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 77-64 | Ilirija |
| 05/04/25 Slovenia SKL | Helios Domzale | 77-83 | Ilirija |
| 18/01/25 Slovenia SKL | Ilirija | 82-65 | Helios Domzale |
Standings · Slovenia SKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krka | 5 | 5 | 0 | 436 | 328 | 10 |
| 2 | Ilirija | 5 | 4 | 1 | 428 | 352 | 9 |
| 3 | Hopsi Polzela | 5 | 4 | 1 | 400 | 338 | 9 |
| 4 | KK Sencur | 4 | 4 | 0 | 363 | 300 | 8 |
| 5 | Zlatorog Lasko | 5 | 3 | 2 | 363 | 385 | 8 |
| 6 | Nova Gorica Mladi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 364 | 372 | 7 |
| 7 | Rogaska | 5 | 1 | 4 | 327 | 428 | 6 |
| 8 | Triglav | 4 | 1 | 3 | 299 | 295 | 5 |
| 9 | Helios Domzale | 5 | 0 | 5 | 329 | 408 | 5 |
| 10 | Tajfun Sentjur | 5 | 0 | 5 | 331 | 434 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ilirija | Helios Domzale |
|---|---|---|
| Tajfun Sentjur | 78-62 W | 80-85 L |
| Zlatorog Lasko | 93-69 W | 73-75 L |
| Krka | 82-83 L | 68-92 L |
| Triglav | 89-79 W | 60-79 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Ilirija (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilirija
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
78-62 | W |
| 14/10 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
93-69 | W |
| 07/10 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
82-83 | L |
| 30/09 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
89-79 | W |
| 23/09 | Nova Gorica Slovenia SKL |
86-59 | W |
| 23/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
74-97 | L |
| 21/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
105-89 | W |
| 18/05 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
80-94 | L |
| 13/05 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
72-65 | W |
| 11/05 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
86-70 | W |
Helios Domzale
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
73-75 | L |
| 14/10 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
68-92 | L |
| 09/10 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
60-79 | L |
| 03/10 | Nova Gorica Mladi Slovenia SKL |
69-88 | L |
| 26/09 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
59-74 | L |
| 12/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
75-82 | L |
| 09/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
65-75 | L |
| 04/05 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
70-76 | L |
| 30/04 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
79-97 | L |
| 23/04 | Tajfun Sentjur Slovenia SKL |
80-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilirija vs Helios Domzale?
Our model gives 82% to Ilirija.
How many points are expected in Ilirija vs Helios Domzale?
The model estimates 158.7 total points (Ilirija 85.7 · Helios Domzale 72.9).