Basketball · Slovenia SKL · 22/09, 18:00
Prediction: Krka vs Tajfun Sentjur
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.7Total
Krka87.1
Tajfun Sentjur70.6
1X2
Krka
Tajfun Sentjur
Recent form · 10 last
Krka
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Tajfun Sentjur
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krka
6–0
Tajfun Sentjur
(6 last)
- Tajfun Sentjur60-103Krka
- Krka91-67Tajfun Sentjur
- Tajfun Sentjur60-88Krka
- Krka85-68Tajfun Sentjur
- Krka87-73Tajfun Sentjur
- Tajfun Sentjur69-83Krka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Krka 1543 · Tajfun Sentjur 1437
| Krka | Tajfun Sentjur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.7 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.7Krka 87.1 · Tajfun Sentjur 70.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krka (rating 1543 vs 1437).
- Krka is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Krka: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Krka | Tajfun Sentjur | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.5 / 78.9 | 72.7 / 80.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84 / 89.4 | 67 / 80.8 |
| Est. result | 87 | 71 |
Est. total157.7
Line O/U157.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krka 6–0–0 Tajfun Sentjur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Slovenia SKL | Tajfun Sentjur | 60-103 | Krka |
| 17/01/26 Slovenia SKL | Krka | 91-67 | Tajfun Sentjur |
| 22/10/25 Slovenia SKL | Tajfun Sentjur | 60-88 | Krka |
| 28/02/25 Slovenia SKL | Krka | 85-68 | Tajfun Sentjur |
| 13/02/25 Slovenia Cup | Krka | 87-73 | Tajfun Sentjur |
| 18/12/24 Slovenia SKL | Tajfun Sentjur | 69-83 | Krka |
Standings · Slovenia SKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nova Gorica Mladi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Helios Domzale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hopsi Polzela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ilirija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Krka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rogaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KK Sencur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tajfun Sentjur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Triglav | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zlatorog Lasko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krka | Tajfun Sentjur |
|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 97-74 W | 64-96 L |
| Hopsi Polzela | 86-80 W | 76-83 L |
| Terme Olimia Podcetrtek | 98-56 W | 82-63 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Krka (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krka
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
71-87 | L |
| 30/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
74-91 | L |
| 27/05 | Cedevita Olimpija Slovenia SKL |
89-90 | L |
| 23/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
97-74 | W |
| 21/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
89-105 | L |
| 18/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
94-80 | W |
| 10/05 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
86-80 | W |
| 07/05 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
94-58 | W |
| 03/05 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
83-68 | W |
| 30/04 | Terme Olimia Podcetrtek Slovenia SKL |
98-56 | W |
Tajfun Sentjur
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Triglav Slovenia SKL |
58-82 | L |
| 28/04 | KK Sencur Slovenia SKL |
68-74 | L |
| 23/04 | Helios Domzale Slovenia SKL |
85-80 | W |
| 15/04 | Krka Slovenia SKL |
60-103 | L |
| 11/04 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
64-65 | L |
| 06/04 | Ilirija Slovenia SKL |
64-96 | L |
| 04/04 | Terme Olimia Podcetrtek Slovenia SKL |
82-63 | W |
| 28/03 | Rogaska Slovenia SKL |
82-87 | L |
| 14/03 | Hopsi Polzela Slovenia SKL |
76-83 | L |
| 14/02 | Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia SKL |
88-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krka vs Tajfun Sentjur?
Our model gives 88% to Krka.
How many points are expected in Krka vs Tajfun Sentjur?
The model estimates 157.7 total points (Krka 87.1 · Tajfun Sentjur 70.6).