Basketball · Hungary NB 1.A · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Kaposvari vs NKA Pecs

Team pages: Kaposvari · NKA Pecs

Prediction summary

Estimated points

174.7Total

Kaposvari94

NKA Pecs80.7

1X2

83% 17%

Kaposvari NKA Pecs

Recent form · 10 last

Kaposvari 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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NKA Pecs 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kaposvari 4–0 NKA Pecs (4 last)

NKA Pecs90-103Kaposvari
Kaposvari93-81NKA Pecs
NKA Pecs67-69Kaposvari
Kaposvari94-80NKA Pecs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaposvari 1557 · NKA Pecs 1382

	Kaposvari	NKA Pecs
Our model	82%	18%
Market	84%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 174.7 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points174.7Kaposvari 94 · NKA Pecs 80.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaposvari (rating 1557 vs 1382).
Kaposvari is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Kaposvari: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kaposvari	NKA Pecs
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.8 / 85.9	81 / 93.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.8 / 89	80.6 / 94.4
Est. result	94	81

Est. total174.7

Line O/U175.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.83

2 (+12.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 175.51.83

Under 175.51.83

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 173.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	2
11:42 +6’	1.12	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:44 +9’	1.08	5.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaposvari 4–0–0 NKA Pecs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Hungary NB 1.A	NKA Pecs	90-103	Kaposvari
21/11/25 Hungary NB 1.A	Kaposvari	93-81	NKA Pecs
06/01/24 Hungary NB 1.A	NKA Pecs	67-69	Kaposvari
06/10/23 Hungary NB 1.A	Kaposvari	94-80	NKA Pecs

Standings · Hungary NB 1.A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atomeromu	7	7	0	719	552	14
2	Kaposvari	7	5	2	639	633	12
3	Alba Fehervar	7	5	2	624	566	12
4	Szolnoki Olaj	7	5	2	610	557	12
5	Falco Szombathely	6	6	0	584	436	12
6	Budapesti Honved SE	7	4	3	650	662	11
7	OSE Lions	7	3	4	624	656	10
8	SZTE-Szedeak	7	3	4	550	602	10
9	PHOENIX-MT Fot	7	3	4	552	561	10
10	Sopron KC	7	3	4	583	576	10
11	Kormend	7	2	5	567	647	9
12	NKA Pecs	7	1	6	550	648	8
13	DEAC Debreceni	6	1	5	509	543	7
14	Kecskemeti TE	7	0	7	494	616	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaposvari	NKA Pecs
OSE Lions	96-91 W	84-93 L
Atomeromu	76-95 L	77-102 L
Kecskemeti TE	97-75 W	93-96 L
Szolnoki Olaj	91-90 W	70-74 L
SZTE-Szedeak	99-98 W	69-77 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Kaposvari (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaposvari

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	OSE Lions Hungary NB 1.A	96-91	W
24/10	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	76-95	L
17/10	Alba Fehervar Hungary NB 1.A	85-94	L
10/10	DEAC Debreceni Hungary NB 1.A	95-90	W
02/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	97-75	W
29/09	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	91-90	W
26/09	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	99-98	W
25/05	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	73-66	W
23/05	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	71-77	L
20/05	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	85-83	W

NKA Pecs

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	110-120	L
28/10	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	43-78	L
24/10	Kormend Hungary NB 1.A	88-75	W
16/10	Falco Szombathely Hungary NB 1.A	78-106	L
10/10	OSE Lions Hungary NB 1.A	84-93	L
03/10	Szolnoki Olaj Hungary NB 1.A	70-74	L
26/09	Atomeromu Hungary NB 1.A	77-102	L
23/05	Kormend Hungary NB 1.A	98-118	L
20/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	93-96	L
16/05	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	69-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaposvari vs NKA Pecs?

Our model gives 83% to Kaposvari.

How many points are expected in Kaposvari vs NKA Pecs?

The model estimates 174.7 total points (Kaposvari 94 · NKA Pecs 80.7).