Basketball · Hungary NB 1.A · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: Alba Fehervar vs DEAC Debreceni

Team pages: Alba Fehervar · DEAC Debreceni

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.3Total

Alba Fehervar91.8

DEAC Debreceni80.5

1X2

79% 21%

Alba Fehervar DEAC Debreceni

Recent form · 10 last

Alba Fehervar 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWLWW

DEAC Debreceni 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Alba Fehervar 2–4 DEAC Debreceni (6 last)

DEAC Debreceni88-75Alba Fehervar
Alba Fehervar100-83DEAC Debreceni
Alba Fehervar98-102DEAC Debreceni
DEAC Debreceni97-84Alba Fehervar
DEAC Debreceni81-74Alba Fehervar
Alba Fehervar88-71DEAC Debreceni

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alba Fehervar 1523 · DEAC Debreceni 1443

	Alba Fehervar	DEAC Debreceni
Our model	73%	27%
Market	80%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 172.3 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.3Alba Fehervar 91.8 · DEAC Debreceni 80.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alba Fehervar (rating 1523 vs 1443).
Alba Fehervar is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours DEAC Debreceni: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Alba Fehervar	DEAC Debreceni
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.8 / 82.2	83.5 / 89
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86 / 81.4	85.4 / 88.6
Est. result	92	81

Est. total172.3

Line O/U173.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 171.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	2
11:36 +12’	1.15	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:44 +9’	1.13	4.26
00:36 +11’	1.13	4.27▲
14:39 +10’	1.13▼	4.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alba Fehervar 2–0–4 DEAC Debreceni

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/01/26 Hungary NB 1.A	DEAC Debreceni	88-75	Alba Fehervar
03/10/25 Hungary NB 1.A	Alba Fehervar	100-83	DEAC Debreceni
07/05/25 Hungary NB 1.A	Alba Fehervar	98-102	DEAC Debreceni
02/05/25 Hungary NB 1.A	DEAC Debreceni	97-84	Alba Fehervar
11/01/25 Hungary NB 1.A	DEAC Debreceni	81-74	Alba Fehervar
18/12/24 Hungary NB 1.A	Alba Fehervar	88-71	DEAC Debreceni

Standings · Hungary NB 1.A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atomeromu	7	7	0	719	552	14
2	Kaposvari	7	5	2	639	633	12
3	Alba Fehervar	7	5	2	624	566	12
4	Szolnoki Olaj	7	5	2	610	557	12
5	Falco Szombathely	6	6	0	584	436	12
6	Budapesti Honved SE	7	4	3	650	662	11
7	OSE Lions	7	3	4	624	656	10
8	SZTE-Szedeak	7	3	4	550	602	10
9	PHOENIX-MT Fot	7	3	4	552	561	10
10	Sopron KC	7	3	4	583	576	10
11	Kormend	7	2	5	567	647	9
12	NKA Pecs	7	1	6	550	648	8
13	DEAC Debreceni	6	1	5	509	543	7
14	Kecskemeti TE	7	0	7	494	616	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alba Fehervar	DEAC Debreceni
Kecskemeti TE	88-84 W	86-76 W
SZTE-Szedeak	93-64 W	82-91 L
PHOENIX-MT Fot	67-79 L	81-88 L
Kaposvari	94-85 W	90-95 L
Budapesti Honved SE	88-95 L	88-93 L
Sopron KC	98-82 W	82-100 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alba Fehervar

WLLWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	88-84	W
28/10	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	93-64	W
24/10	PHOENIX-MT Fot Hungary NB 1.A	67-79	L
17/10	Kaposvari Hungary NB 1.A	94-85	W
11/10	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	88-95	L
30/09	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	98-82	W
25/09	Kormend Hungary NB 1.A	96-77	W
15/05	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	90-98	L
13/05	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	73-79	L
11/05	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	101-79	W

DEAC Debreceni

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB 1.A	86-76	W
24/10	SZTE-Szedeak Hungary NB 1.A	82-91	L
17/10	PHOENIX-MT Fot Hungary NB 1.A	81-88	L
10/10	Kaposvari Hungary NB 1.A	90-95	L
02/10	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	88-93	L
25/09	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	82-100	L
14/05	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	88-90	L
12/05	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	89-93	L
09/05	Sopron KC Hungary NB 1.A	79-72	W
06/05	Budapesti Honved SE Hungary NB 1.A	70-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alba Fehervar vs DEAC Debreceni?

Our model gives 79% to Alba Fehervar.

How many points are expected in Alba Fehervar vs DEAC Debreceni?

The model estimates 172.3 total points (Alba Fehervar 91.8 · DEAC Debreceni 80.5).