Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 30/08, 17:00
Prediction: KPA vs Stanbic Shields
Team pages: Stanbic Shields
Prediction summary
Estimated points
145Total
KPA79.7
Stanbic Shields65.2
1X2
KPA
Stanbic Shields
Recent form · 10 last
KPA
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Stanbic Shields
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KPA
1–0
Stanbic Shields
(1 last)
- Stanbic Shields65-73KPA
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KPA 1596 · Stanbic Shields 1513
| KPA | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
145 points · Bet365 line 141.5 · +3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points145KPA 79.7 · Stanbic Shields 65.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KPA (rating 1596 vs 1513).
- KPA is a clear favourite (85% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KPA | Stanbic Shields | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.6 / 72.2 | 64.1 / 63.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 66.2 | 57.4 / 61 |
| Est. result | 80 | 65 |
Est. total145
Line O/U141.5
Diff.3.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KPA 1–0–0 Stanbic Shields
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Kenya Premier League | Stanbic Shields | 65-73 | KPA |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KPA | Stanbic Shields |
|---|---|---|
| ANU Wolfpacks | 89-70 W | 81-57 W |
| Moischers Nets | 88-57 W | 66-53 W |
| Umoja | 70-60 W | 42-75 L |
| Strathmore Blades | 84-72 W | 48-42 W |
| Equity Bank | 99-90 W | 74-63 W |
| Nairobi City Thunder | 79-93 L | 64-84 L |
| Ulinzi | 63-62 W | 54-67 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: KPA (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KPA
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
89-70 | W |
| 18/07 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
88-57 | W |
| 14/06 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
70-60 | W |
| 13/06 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
84-72 | W |
| 13/06 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
84-72 | W |
| 27/03 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
99-90 | W |
| 15/03 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
73-65 | W |
| 07/09 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
79-93 | L |
| 06/09 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
47-81 | L |
| 31/08 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
63-62 | W |
Stanbic Shields
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
66-53 | W |
| 26/07 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
48-42 | W |
| 04/07 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
67-51 | W |
| 28/06 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
42-75 | L |
| 19/06 | Nairobi City Thunder Kenya Premier League |
64-84 | L |
| 23/05 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
81-57 | W |
| 25/04 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
54-67 | L |
| 15/03 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
65-73 | L |
| 08/03 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
80-69 | W |
| 01/03 | Equity Bank Kenya Premier League |
74-63 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KPA vs Stanbic Shields?
Our model gives 85% to KPA.
How many points are expected in KPA vs Stanbic Shields?
The model estimates 145 total points (KPA 79.7 · Stanbic Shields 65.2).