Basketball · Adriatic League · 05/10, 18:30
Prediction: Partizan vs Mega Leks
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.3Total
Partizan81.9
Mega Leks91.4
1X2
Partizan
Mega Leks
Recent form · 10 last
Partizan
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Mega Leks
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partizan
4–2
Mega Leks
(6 last)
- Partizan58-80Mega Leks
- Partizan89-82Mega Leks
- Partizan83-63Mega Leks
- Mega Leks90-100Partizan
- Partizan96-68Mega Leks
- Mega Leks92-88Partizan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partizan 1577 · Mega Leks 1494
| Partizan | Mega Leks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
173.3 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points173.3Partizan 81.9 · Mega Leks 91.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan (rating 1577 vs 1494).
- Mega Leks is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Partizan: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Partizan | Mega Leks | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.2 / 80.9 | 88.8 / 86.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 83.2 | 92 / 86.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 91 |
Est. total173.3
Line O/U170.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan 4–0–2 Mega Leks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Serbia Cup | Partizan | 58-80 | Mega Leks |
| 04/05/25 Adriatic League | Partizan | 89-82 | Mega Leks |
| 14/02/25 Serbia Cup | Partizan | 83-63 | Mega Leks |
| 06/01/25 Adriatic League | Mega Leks | 90-100 | Partizan |
| 30/05/24 Serbia KLS | Partizan | 96-68 | Mega Leks |
| 27/05/24 Serbia KLS | Mega Leks | 92-88 | Partizan |
Standings · Adriatic League · ABA Liga 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bosna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 79 | 2 |
| 2 | U - Banca Transilvania Cluj | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 84 | 2 |
| 3 | BC GGMT Vienna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 95 | 1 |
| 4 | Spartak | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 95 | 1 |
| 5 | BC Dubai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ilirija | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Mega Leks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Partizan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Studentski Centar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Zadar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partizan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | BC Dubai Adriatic League |
81-83 | L |
| 10/06 | BC Dubai Adriatic League |
84-70 | W |
| 06/06 | BC Dubai Adriatic League |
81-86 | L |
| 04/06 | BC Dubai Adriatic League |
93-99 | L |
| 21/05 | Crvena Zvezda Adriatic League |
89-78 | W |
| 18/05 | Crvena Zvezda Adriatic League |
100-94 | W |
| 10/05 | Bosna Adriatic League |
87-73 | W |
| 06/05 | Bosna Adriatic League |
81-73 | W |
| 19/04 | Crvena Zvezda Adriatic League |
81-74 | W |
| 12/04 | Cedevita Olimpija Adriatic League |
85-79 | W |
Mega Leks
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
98-89 | W |
| 20/04 | Split Adriatic League |
95-72 | W |
| 13/04 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
85-89 | L |
| 06/04 | Krka Adriatic League |
103-98 | W |
| 28/03 | FMP Adriatic League |
79-84 | L |
| 22/03 | Split Adriatic League |
74-96 | L |
| 19/03 | Krka Adriatic League |
82-78 | W |
| 15/03 | Borac Cacak Adriatic League |
95-77 | W |
| 09/03 | Studentski Centar Adriatic League |
90-76 | W |
| 15/02 | FMP Adriatic League |
87-102 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partizan vs Mega Leks?
Our model gives 75% to Mega Leks.
How many points are expected in Partizan vs Mega Leks?
The model estimates 173.3 total points (Partizan 81.9 · Mega Leks 91.4).