Basketball · Romania LNB · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: CS Municipal Ploiesti vs CS Valcea 1924

Team pages: CS Municipal Ploiesti · CS Valcea 1924

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.8Total

CS Municipal Ploiesti85.1

CS Valcea 192491.7

1X2

32% 68%

CS Municipal Ploiesti CS Valcea 1924

Recent form · 10 last

CS Municipal Ploiesti 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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CS Valcea 1924 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

CS Municipal Ploiesti 0–6 CS Valcea 1924 (6 last)

CS Municipal Ploiesti95-104CS Valcea 1924
CS Valcea 192497-75CS Municipal Ploiesti
CS Municipal Ploiesti69-94CS Valcea 1924
CS Valcea 192496-84CS Municipal Ploiesti
CS Valcea 192493-83CS Municipal Ploiesti
CS Municipal Ploiesti77-86CS Valcea 1924

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Municipal Ploiesti 1504 · CS Valcea 1924 1579

	CS Municipal Ploiesti	CS Valcea 1924
Our model	52%	48%
Market	27%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 176.8 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.8CS Municipal Ploiesti 85.1 · CS Valcea 1924 91.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Valcea 1924 (rating 1504 vs 1579).
CS Valcea 1924 is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours CS Valcea 1924: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CS Municipal Ploiesti	CS Valcea 1924
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.9 / 87.3	90.7 / 84.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.4 / 91.6	94.2 / 90
Est. result	85	92

Est. total176.8

Line O/U172.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.40

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.83

2 (-9.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 176.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.46 ★
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	2
16:22 +10’	3.40	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:10 +14’	3.70	1.18
12:02 +48’	3.86▲	1.20▲
16:43 +6’	4.46▲	1.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Municipal Ploiesti 0–0–6 CS Valcea 1924

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 Romania LNB	CS Municipal Ploiesti	95-104	CS Valcea 1924
10/05/26 Romania LNB	CS Valcea 1924	97-75	CS Municipal Ploiesti
01/02/26 Romania LNB	CS Municipal Ploiesti	69-94	CS Valcea 1924
18/10/25 Romania LNB	CS Valcea 1924	96-84	CS Municipal Ploiesti
12/04/25 Romania LNB	CS Valcea 1924	93-83	CS Municipal Ploiesti
14/12/24 Romania LNB	CS Municipal Ploiesti	77-86	CS Valcea 1924

Standings · Romania LNB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oradea	1	1	0	101	74	2
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	1	1	0	87	62	2
3	CSO Voluntari	1	1	0	103	84	2
4	Craiova	1	1	0	113	98	2
5	CS Valcea 1924	1	1	0	97	90	2
6	Bc Targu Mures	1	1	0	78	72	2
7	Pitesti	1	1	0	90	86	2
8	Atlassib Sibiu	1	0	1	86	90	1
9	BC Timisoara	1	0	1	72	78	1
10	Steaua Bucuresti	1	0	1	90	97	1
11	CSM Corona Brasov	1	0	1	98	113	1
12	CS Municipal Ploiesti	1	0	1	84	103	1
13	Rapid Bucuresti	1	0	1	62	87	1
14	Phoenix Galati	1	0	1	74	101	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Municipal Ploiesti	CS Valcea 1924
Steaua Bucuresti	103-71 W	97-90 W
ACS Targu Jiu	83-68 W	73-67 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CS Municipal Ploiesti (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Municipal Ploiesti

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CSO Voluntari Romania LNB	84-103	L
22/05	Steaua Bucuresti Romania LNB	103-71	W
20/05	Steaua Bucuresti Romania LNB	100-83	W
13/05	CS Valcea 1924 Romania LNB	95-104	L
10/05	CS Valcea 1924 Romania LNB	75-97	L
30/04	Bc Targu Mures Romania LNB	89-79	W
26/04	Bc Targu Mures Romania LNB	91-74	W
24/04	Bc Targu Mures Romania LNB	91-89	W
18/04	Craiova Romania LNB	88-105	L
14/04	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	83-68	W

CS Valcea 1924

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/10	Steaua Bucuresti Romania LNB	97-90	W
27/05	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	94-90	W
23/05	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	92-85	W
20/05	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	84-90	L
13/05	CS Municipal Ploiesti Romania LNB	104-95	W
10/05	CS Municipal Ploiesti Romania LNB	97-75	W
30/04	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	73-67	W
26/04	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	89-87	W
24/04	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	96-80	W
18/04	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania LNB	81-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Municipal Ploiesti vs CS Valcea 1924?

Our model gives 68% to CS Valcea 1924.

How many points are expected in CS Municipal Ploiesti vs CS Valcea 1924?

The model estimates 176.8 total points (CS Municipal Ploiesti 85.1 · CS Valcea 1924 91.7).