Basketball · Romania LNB · 06/11, 17:00

Prediction: Phoenix Galati vs Steaua Bucuresti

Team pages: Phoenix Galati · Steaua Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.9Total

Phoenix Galati84.3

Steaua Bucuresti91.6

1X2

30% 70%

Phoenix Galati Steaua Bucuresti

Recent form · 10 last

Phoenix Galati 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Steaua Bucuresti 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

Phoenix Galati 2–4 Steaua Bucuresti (6 last)

Steaua Bucuresti80-71Phoenix Galati
Phoenix Galati78-109Steaua Bucuresti
Steaua Bucuresti102-51Phoenix Galati
Phoenix Galati100-104Steaua Bucuresti
Phoenix Galati82-81Steaua Bucuresti
Steaua Bucuresti83-88Phoenix Galati

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Phoenix Galati 1351 · Steaua Bucuresti 1447

	Phoenix Galati	Steaua Bucuresti
Our model	49%	51%
Market	26%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 175.9 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · +1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points175.9Phoenix Galati 84.3 · Steaua Bucuresti 91.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Steaua Bucuresti (rating 1351 vs 1447).
Steaua Bucuresti is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Steaua Bucuresti: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Phoenix Galati	Steaua Bucuresti
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.5 / 97	81 / 89.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.2 / 102.4	87.8 / 88.4
Est. result	84	92

Est. total175.9

Line O/U174.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.65

21.26

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.83

2 (-8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 1.1 · Est. total: 175.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.65 → 3.65	Bet365 3.65
2	1.26 → 1.26	Bet365 1.26

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	2
10:46 +1’	3.65	1.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:43 +7’	3.12	1.26
19:38 +14’	3.12	1.26▼
12:41 +6’	3.19▲	1.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Phoenix Galati 2–0–4 Steaua Bucuresti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Romania LNB	Steaua Bucuresti	80-71	Phoenix Galati
20/11/25 Romania LNB	Phoenix Galati	78-109	Steaua Bucuresti
05/04/25 Romania LNB	Steaua Bucuresti	102-51	Phoenix Galati
06/12/24 Romania LNB	Phoenix Galati	100-104	Steaua Bucuresti
16/12/22 Romania LNB	Phoenix Galati	82-81	Steaua Bucuresti
08/10/22 Romania LNB	Steaua Bucuresti	83-88	Phoenix Galati

Standings · Romania LNB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSO Voluntari	5	5	0	455	405	10
2	Bc Targu Mures	5	4	1	456	416	9
3	CS Valcea 1924	5	4	1	451	395	9
4	Oradea	5	3	2	443	422	8
5	Atlassib Sibiu	5	2	3	491	504	7
6	Dinamo Bucuresti	4	3	1	339	302	7
7	Pitesti	5	2	3	438	445	7
8	BC Timisoara	5	2	3	420	431	7
9	Craiova	4	3	1	412	397	7
10	Rapid Bucuresti	5	2	3	457	463	7
11	Steaua Bucuresti	5	2	3	439	442	7
12	CSM Corona Brasov	5	1	4	426	447	6
13	CS Municipal Ploiesti	5	1	4	380	462	6
14	Phoenix Galati	5	0	5	436	512	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Phoenix Galati	Steaua Bucuresti
CS Valcea 1924	67-97 L	90-97 L
BC Timisoara	102-105 L	48-90 L
CSM Corona Brasov	88-96 L	94-89 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Steaua Bucuresti (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Phoenix Galati

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	CS Valcea 1924 Romania LNB	67-97	L
24/10	CSO Voluntari Romania LNB	94-101	L
17/10	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	102-105	L
11/10	Craiova Romania LNB	99-108	L
03/10	Oradea Romania LNB	74-101	L
29/05	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	81-88	L
25/05	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	75-90	L
23/05	ACS Targu Jiu Romania LNB	70-92	L
17/05	CSM Corona Brasov Romania LNB	88-96	L
12/05	CSM Corona Brasov Romania LNB	85-92	L

Steaua Bucuresti

WLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	CSM Corona Brasov Romania LNB	94-89	W
22/10	Bc Targu Mures Romania LNB	89-92	L
17/10	CS Municipal Ploiesti Romania LNB	68-76	L
12/10	Rapid Bucuresti Romania LNB	98-88	W
06/10	CS Valcea 1924 Romania LNB	90-97	L
22/05	CS Municipal Ploiesti Romania LNB	71-103	L
20/05	CS Municipal Ploiesti Romania LNB	83-100	L
15/05	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	48-90	L
11/05	BC Timisoara Romania LNB	72-85	L
02/05	CSM Corona Brasov Romania LNB	97-77	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Phoenix Galati vs Steaua Bucuresti?

Our model gives 70% to Steaua Bucuresti.

How many points are expected in Phoenix Galati vs Steaua Bucuresti?

The model estimates 175.9 total points (Phoenix Galati 84.3 · Steaua Bucuresti 91.6).