Basketball · Croatia A1 Liga · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Samobor vs Cibona
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.3Total
Samobor79.6
Cibona85.7
1X2
Samobor
Cibona
Recent form · 10 last
Samobor
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Cibona
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Samobor
0–3
Cibona
(3 last)
- Samobor83-89Cibona
- Samobor88-90Cibona
- Cibona97-82Samobor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samobor 1437 · Cibona 1608
| Samobor | Cibona | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.3 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.3Samobor 79.6 · Cibona 85.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cibona (rating 1437 vs 1608).
- Cibona is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Cibona: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Samobor | Cibona | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.8 / 84.7 | 77.2 / 79.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82 / 86 | 73.2 / 79.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 86 |
Est. total165.3
Line O/U165.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samobor 0–0–3 Cibona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Samobor | 83-89 | Cibona |
| 07/02/26 Croatia A1 Liga | Samobor | 88-90 | Cibona |
| 23/11/25 Croatia A1 Liga | Cibona | 97-82 | Samobor |
Standings · Croatia A1 Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zadar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 128 | 4 |
| 2 | Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 139 | 4 |
| 3 | Cibona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 162 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 163 | 4 |
| 5 | Cedevita Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 177 | 4 |
| 6 | Alkar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 175 | 3 |
| 7 | Skrljevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 179 | 3 |
| 8 | Furnir Dubrava | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 170 | 2 |
| 9 | Zabok | 2 | 0 | 2 | 162 | 180 | 2 |
| 10 | Kvarner 2010 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 166 | 190 | 2 |
| 11 | KK Dubrovnik | 2 | 0 | 2 | 151 | 175 | 2 |
| 12 | Samobor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 176 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Samobor | Cibona |
|---|---|---|
| Alkar | 91-95 L | 84-78 W |
| Zadar | 59-81 L | 82-75 W |
| Furnir Dubrava | 76-66 W | 92-87 W |
| Split | 81-94 L | 78-76 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cibona (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samobor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Alkar Croatia A1 Liga |
91-95 | L |
| 27/09 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
59-81 | L |
| 16/05 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
69-77 | L |
| 13/05 | KK Dubrovnik Croatia A1 Liga |
81-86 | L |
| 09/05 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia A1 Liga |
110-91 | W |
| 02/05 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
76-66 | W |
| 29/04 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
84-88 | L |
| 24/04 | Kvarner 2010 Croatia A1 Liga |
92-81 | W |
| 19/04 | Cedevita Junior Croatia A1 Liga |
75-88 | L |
| 12/04 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
81-94 | L |
Cibona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Alkar Croatia A1 Liga |
84-78 | W |
| 10/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
82-75 | W |
| 07/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
73-67 | W |
| 05/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
70-87 | L |
| 02/06 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
57-92 | L |
| 31/05 | Zadar Croatia A1 Liga |
74-72 | W |
| 28/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
78-76 | W |
| 25/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
78-83 | L |
| 22/05 | Split Croatia A1 Liga |
84-79 | W |
| 19/05 | Furnir Dubrava Croatia A1 Liga |
92-87 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samobor vs Cibona?
Our model gives 67% to Cibona.
How many points are expected in Samobor vs Cibona?
The model estimates 165.3 total points (Samobor 79.6 · Cibona 85.7).