Basketball · Chile LNB · 18/08, 02:30
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs CD Castro
Team pages: Puerto Montt · CD Castro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.7Total
Puerto Montt86.8
CD Castro77.8
1X2
Puerto Montt
CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
CD Castro
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
3–3
CD Castro
(6 last)
- CD Castro86-89Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt101-105CD Castro
- CD Castro86-63Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt77-76CD Castro
- Puerto Montt99-93CD Castro
- CD Castro82-66Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1394 · CD Castro 1436
| Puerto Montt | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.7 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +5.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.7Puerto Montt 86.8 · CD Castro 77.8
Match keys
- Puerto Montt is a clear favourite (74% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Montt | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76 / 89.3 | 73.6 / 84.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.2 / 93 | 71.4 / 93.2 |
| Est. result | 87 | 78 |
Est. total164.7
Line O/U159.5
Diff.5.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 3–0–3 CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 86-89 | Puerto Montt |
| 13/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 101-105 | CD Castro |
| 22/04/24 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 86-63 | Puerto Montt |
| 28/01/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 77-76 | CD Castro |
| 26/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | Puerto Montt | 99-93 | CD Castro |
| 22/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | CD Castro | 82-66 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 10 | 10 | 0 | 911 | 709 | 20 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 11 | 7 | 4 | 943 | 928 | 18 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 12 | 6 | 6 | 982 | 998 | 18 |
| 4 | Las Animas | 11 | 4 | 7 | 950 | 918 | 15 |
| 5 | Puerto Varas | 11 | 4 | 7 | 845 | 928 | 15 |
| 6 | CD Castro | 11 | 3 | 8 | 790 | 938 | 14 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 10 | 4 | 6 | 777 | 779 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | CD Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Valdivia | 70-88 L | 79-92 L |
| Puerto Varas | 81-86 L | 67-102 L |
| Las Animas | 84-91 L | 56-104 L |
| ABA Ancud | 88-90 L | 71-82 L |
| Espanol Osorno | 67-79 L | 84-86 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
70-88 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
81-86 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
84-91 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
75-97 | L |
| 07/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
56-103 | L |
| 04/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
89-86 | W |
| 30/04 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
88-90 | L |
| 27/04 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
72-82 | L |
| 18/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
78-91 | L |
CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
71-82 | L |
| 07/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
56-104 | L |
| 06/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
67-102 | L |
| 03/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
84-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
79-92 | L |
| 27/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
69-64 | W |
| 23/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
76-73 | W |
| 20/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-77 | L |
| 19/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 13/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-92 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs CD Castro?
Our model gives 74% to Puerto Montt.
How many points are expected in Puerto Montt vs CD Castro?
The model estimates 164.7 total points (Puerto Montt 86.8 · CD Castro 77.8).