Basketball · Chile LNB · 16/08, 01:30
Prediction: ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: ABA Ancud · Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.9Total
ABA Ancud87
Puerto Montt78.9
1X2
ABA Ancud
Puerto Montt
Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud
5–1
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
- Puerto Montt88-90ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud76-86Puerto Montt
- ABA Ancud87-70Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt80-92ABA Ancud
- ABA Ancud111-68Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt64-112ABA Ancud
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ABA Ancud 1525 · Puerto Montt 1413
| ABA Ancud | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.9 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +2.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.9ABA Ancud 87 · Puerto Montt 78.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ABA Ancud (rating 1525 vs 1413).
- ABA Ancud is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours ABA Ancud: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| ABA Ancud | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.3 / 82.3 | 76 / 89.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82 / 81.4 | 73.2 / 93 |
| Est. result | 87 | 79 |
Est. total165.9
Line O/U163.5
Diff.2.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 5–0–1 Puerto Montt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 88-90 | ABA Ancud |
| 09/04/26 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 76-86 | Puerto Montt |
| 20/04/24 Chile LNB | ABA Ancud | 87-70 | Puerto Montt |
| 27/01/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 80-92 | ABA Ancud |
| 16/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | ABA Ancud | 111-68 | Puerto Montt |
| 15/04/23 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 64-112 | ABA Ancud |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 10 | 10 | 0 | 911 | 709 | 20 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 10 | 7 | 3 | 852 | 834 | 17 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 10 | 5 | 5 | 834 | 839 | 15 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 11 | 4 | 7 | 845 | 928 | 15 |
| 5 | Las Animas | 10 | 3 | 7 | 856 | 827 | 13 |
| 6 | CD Castro | 10 | 3 | 7 | 719 | 856 | 13 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 9 | 3 | 6 | 689 | 713 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ABA Ancud | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| CD Castro | 82-71 W | 89-86 W |
| Puerto Varas | 86-82 W | 81-86 L |
| Las Animas | 87-76 W | 84-91 L |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 64-86 L | 70-88 L |
| Espanol Osorno | 91-92 L | 67-79 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: ABA Ancud (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ABA Ancud
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
82-71 | W |
| 08/08 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
86-82 | W |
| 06/08 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
64-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
91-92 | L |
| 25/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
86-71 | W |
| 23/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
73-76 | L |
| 20/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
96-88 | W |
| 19/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
90-84 | W |
| 13/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
78-97 | L |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
70-88 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
81-86 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
84-91 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
75-97 | L |
| 07/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
56-103 | L |
| 04/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
89-86 | W |
| 30/04 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
88-90 | L |
| 27/04 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
72-82 | L |
| 18/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
78-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt?
Our model gives 72% to ABA Ancud.
How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Montt?
The model estimates 165.9 total points (ABA Ancud 87 · Puerto Montt 78.9).