Basketball · Korea KBL · 11/11, 11:00

Prediction: Changwon Sakers vs Seoul Knights

Team pages: Changwon Sakers · Seoul Knights

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.6Total

Changwon Sakers81.5

Seoul Knights81.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Changwon Sakers Seoul Knights

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Changwon Sakers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Seoul Knights 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Changwon Sakers 2–4 Seoul Knights (6 last)

Seoul Knights86-85Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers67-55Seoul Knights
Changwon Sakers70-71Seoul Knights
Seoul Knights89-76Changwon Sakers
Seoul Knights77-55Changwon Sakers
Seoul Knights75-80Changwon Sakers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changwon Sakers 1469 · Seoul Knights 1539

	Changwon Sakers	Seoul Knights
Our model	53%	47%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 162.6 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162.6Changwon Sakers 81.5 · Seoul Knights 81.1

Match keys

H2H favours Seoul Knights: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Changwon Sakers	Seoul Knights
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.2 / 90.7	82.8 / 78.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.4 / 93.2	84.4 / 78.6
Est. result	82	81

Est. total162.6

Line O/U165.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.74

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 3.65 · Est. total: 169.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 08:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 1.83▼	Pinn 2.03 ★
2	1.54 → 1.83▲	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
11:43 +2’	2.35	1.54
13:40 +5’	2.20▼	1.61▲
07:43 +2’	2.00▼	1.71▲
08:43 +2’	1.83▼	1.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:41 +5’	2.13	1.69
11:36 +9’	1.98▼	1.80▲
12:38 +8’	2.02▲	1.77▼
13:36 +9’	2.06▲	1.74▼
21:44 +4’	2.08▲	1.72▼
22:33 +13’	2.10▲	1.71▼
01:34 +12’	2.11▲	1.70▼
02:45 +1’	2.13▲	1.69▼
04:43 +2’	1.97▼	1.81▲
05:34 +11’	2.00▲	1.83▲
06:42 +3’	1.91▼	1.91▲
07:39 +6’	1.94▲	1.88▼
09:31 +14’	1.96▲	1.85▼
10:43 +1’	2.03▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Changwon Sakers 2–0–4 Seoul Knights

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/10/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	86-85	Changwon Sakers
29/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	67-55	Seoul Knights
08/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	70-71	Seoul Knights
15/01/26 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	89-76	Changwon Sakers
13/12/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	77-55	Changwon Sakers
02/11/25 Korea KBL	Seoul Knights	75-80	Changwon Sakers

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	13	11	2	1094	1033
2	Anyang Red Boosters	13	9	4	1085	1026
3	Seoul Knights	9	6	3	763	720
4	Wonju Promy	13	7	6	1171	1161
5	Korea Gas Corporation	13	6	7	1068	1072
5	Suwon Sonicboom	13	6	7	1105	1124
7	Changwon Sakers	12	5	7	1037	1072
8	KCC Egis	13	5	8	1139	1177
9	Goyang Sky Gunners	14	5	9	1251	1259
10	Mobis Phoebus	13	3	10	1081	1150

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Changwon Sakers	Seoul Knights
KCC Egis	74-84 L	96-87 W
Goyang Sky Gunners	86-85 W	81-87 L
Wonju Promy	98-104 L	81-65 W
Korea Gas Corporation	75-85 L	76-82 L
Seoul Thunders	86-93 L	90-76 W
Anyang Red Boosters	65-88 L	79-83 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Knights (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changwon Sakers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	KCC Egis Korea KBL	74-84	L
07/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	86-85	W
01/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	98-104	L
26/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	109-107	W
24/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	85-86	L
22/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-83	W
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L
08/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	96-92	W

Seoul Knights

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	81-65	W
06/11	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	79-83	L
04/11	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	76-82	L
01/11	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	90-76	W
27/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	96-87	W
25/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	90-79	W
24/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	86-85	W
20/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	84-76	W
18/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	81-87	L
16/04	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	65-66	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changwon Sakers vs Seoul Knights?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Changwon Sakers 51% · Seoul Knights 49%).

How many points are expected in Changwon Sakers vs Seoul Knights?

The model estimates 162.6 total points (Changwon Sakers 81.5 · Seoul Knights 81.1).