Basketball · Korea KBL · 14/11, 06:00

Prediction: Changwon Sakers vs Mobis Phoebus

Team pages: Changwon Sakers · Mobis Phoebus

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.4Total

Changwon Sakers86.3

Mobis Phoebus80.1

1X2

67% 33%

Changwon Sakers Mobis Phoebus

Recent form · 10 last

Changwon Sakers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWLW

Mobis Phoebus 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Changwon Sakers 4–2 Mobis Phoebus (6 last)

Mobis Phoebus83-88Changwon Sakers
Mobis Phoebus85-84Changwon Sakers
Mobis Phoebus78-56Changwon Sakers
Changwon Sakers83-75Mobis Phoebus
Changwon Sakers76-65Mobis Phoebus
Mobis Phoebus68-71Changwon Sakers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Changwon Sakers 1496 · Mobis Phoebus 1427

	Changwon Sakers	Mobis Phoebus
Our model	71%	29%
Market	66%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 166.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -5.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.4Changwon Sakers 86.3 · Mobis Phoebus 80.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Changwon Sakers (rating 1496 vs 1427).
Changwon Sakers is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Changwon Sakers: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Changwon Sakers	Mobis Phoebus
Points F\|A (Last 10)	86.7 / 88.7	83.4 / 88.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.6 / 90.4	80.6 / 88.2
Est. result	86	80

Est. total166.4

Line O/U171.5

Diff.5.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 2.1 · Est. total: 173.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	2
14:47 +1’	1.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:35 +13’	1.39	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Changwon Sakers 4–0–2 Mobis Phoebus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/10/26 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	83-88	Changwon Sakers
26/09/26 Korea KBL Cup	Mobis Phoebus	85-84	Changwon Sakers
08/04/26 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	78-56	Changwon Sakers
06/03/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	83-75	Mobis Phoebus
31/01/26 Korea KBL	Changwon Sakers	76-65	Mobis Phoebus
31/12/25 Korea KBL	Mobis Phoebus	68-71	Changwon Sakers

Standings · Korea KBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Seoul Thunders	13	11	2	1094	1033
2	Anyang Red Boosters	13	9	4	1085	1026
3	Seoul Knights	10	6	4	835	821
4	Wonju Promy	13	7	6	1171	1161
5	Suwon Sonicboom	13	6	7	1105	1124
5	Changwon Sakers	13	6	7	1138	1144
7	Korea Gas Corporation	14	6	8	1155	1160
8	Goyang Sky Gunners	15	6	9	1339	1346
9	KCC Egis	13	5	8	1139	1177
10	Mobis Phoebus	13	3	10	1081	1150

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Changwon Sakers	Mobis Phoebus
KCC Egis	74-84 L	96-89 W
Goyang Sky Gunners	86-85 W	79-86 L
Wonju Promy	98-104 L	99-89 W
Korea Gas Corporation	75-85 L	67-94 L
Seoul Thunders	86-93 L	76-81 L
Anyang Red Boosters	65-88 L	85-91 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mobis Phoebus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Changwon Sakers

LLLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	101-72	W
08/11	KCC Egis Korea KBL	74-84	L
07/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	86-85	W
01/11	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	98-104	L
26/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	109-107	W
24/10	Seoul Knights Korea KBL	85-86	L
22/10	Mobis Phoebus Korea KBL	88-83	W
17/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	75-85	L
15/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	86-93	L
11/10	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	65-88	L

Mobis Phoebus

WLWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/11	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	79-86	L
08/11	Anyang Red Boosters Korea KBL	85-91	L
05/11	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	76-81	L
31/10	Korea Gas Corporation Korea KBL	67-94	L
29/10	KCC Egis Korea KBL	96-89	W
24/10	Seoul Thunders Korea KBL	71-91	L
22/10	Changwon Sakers Korea KBL	83-88	L
18/10	Suwon Sonicboom Korea KBL	96-80	W
16/10	Goyang Sky Gunners Korea KBL	82-95	L
12/10	Wonju Promy Korea KBL	99-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Changwon Sakers vs Mobis Phoebus?

Our model gives 67% to Changwon Sakers.

How many points are expected in Changwon Sakers vs Mobis Phoebus?

The model estimates 166.4 total points (Changwon Sakers 86.3 · Mobis Phoebus 80.1).