Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 03/10, 18:00
Prediction: Joventut vs BC Andorra
Team pages: Joventut
Prediction summary
Estimated points
179Total
Joventut95.7
BC Andorra83.4
1X2
Joventut
BC Andorra
Recent form · 10 last
Joventut
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
BC Andorra
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Joventut
5–1
BC Andorra
(6 last)
- Joventut101-79BC Andorra
- BC Andorra76-83Joventut
- Joventut101-87BC Andorra
- BC Andorra86-99Joventut
- Joventut93-86BC Andorra
- Joventut69-88BC Andorra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joventut 1520 · BC Andorra 1429
| Joventut | BC Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
179 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · +3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points179Joventut 95.7 · BC Andorra 83.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joventut (rating 1520 vs 1429).
- Joventut is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Joventut: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Joventut | BC Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.9 / 87.6 | 92.6 / 92.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.6 / 98.6 | 91.6 / 92.8 |
| Est. result | 96 | 83 |
Est. total179
Line O/U175.5
Diff.3.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joventut 5–0–1 BC Andorra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 101-79 | BC Andorra |
| 23/11/25 Spain Liga ACB | BC Andorra | 76-83 | Joventut |
| 18/09/25 Club Friendlies | Joventut | 101-87 | BC Andorra |
| 05/04/25 Spain Liga ACB | BC Andorra | 86-99 | Joventut |
| 11/01/25 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 93-86 | BC Andorra |
| 30/08/24 Club Friendlies | Joventut | 69-88 | BC Andorra |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 119 | 101 | 0 |
| 2 | Bilbao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 107 | 92 | 0 |
| 3 | Girona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 77 | 0 |
| 4 | Breogan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 110 | 104 | 0 |
| 5 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 100 | 0 |
| 6 | Monbus Obradoiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 85 | 0 |
| 7 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 87 | 0 |
| 8 | Baskonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 98 | 97 | 0 |
| 9 | Zaragoza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 80 | 0 |
| 10 | San Pablo Burgos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 98 | 0 |
| 11 | Tenerife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 80 | 81 | 0 |
| 12 | Unicaja Malaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 89 | 0 |
| 13 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 105 | 0 |
| 14 | BC Andorra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 85 | 90 | 0 |
| 15 | Joventut | 1 | 0 | 1 | 104 | 110 | 0 |
| 16 | UCAM Murcia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 84 | 0 |
| 17 | Manresa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 107 | 0 |
| 18 | Coruna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 101 | 119 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Joventut | BC Andorra |
|---|---|---|
| Breogan | 104-110 L | 99-97 W |
| San Pablo Burgos | 86-79 W | 83-85 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joventut
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Breogan Spain Liga ACB |
104-110 | L |
| 14/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
75-87 | L |
| 12/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
76-90 | L |
| 10/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
117-118 | L |
| 07/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
96-88 | W |
| 05/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
82-63 | W |
| 03/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
71-85 | L |
| 29/05 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
77-82 | L |
| 26/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
95-74 | W |
| 24/05 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
86-79 | W |
BC Andorra
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB |
85-90 | L |
| 29/05 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
95-100 | L |
| 24/05 | Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB |
116-88 | W |
| 17/05 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
83-85 | L |
| 14/05 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
79-101 | L |
| 10/05 | Manresa Spain Liga ACB |
104-94 | W |
| 02/05 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
90-89 | W |
| 26/04 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
86-89 | L |
| 18/04 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
89-95 | L |
| 11/04 | Breogan Spain Liga ACB |
99-97 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joventut vs BC Andorra?
Our model gives 81% to Joventut.
How many points are expected in Joventut vs BC Andorra?
The model estimates 179 total points (Joventut 95.7 · BC Andorra 83.4).