Basketball · Turkiye TBL · 11/10, 15:30

Prediction: Darussafaka vs Yalova Haremspor

Team pages: Darussafaka · Yalova Haremspor

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.3Total

Darussafaka74.6

Yalova Haremspor82.7

1X2

28% 72%

Darussafaka Yalova Haremspor

Recent form · 10 last

Darussafaka 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Yalova Haremspor 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Darussafaka 1–1 Yalova Haremspor (2 last)

Darussafaka72-79Yalova Haremspor
Yalova Haremspor70-86Darussafaka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darussafaka 1457 · Yalova Haremspor 1511

	Darussafaka	Yalova Haremspor
Our model	55%	45%
Market	21%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 157.3 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.3Darussafaka 74.6 · Yalova Haremspor 82.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yalova Haremspor (rating 1457 vs 1511).
Yalova Haremspor is a clear favourite (72% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Darussafaka	Yalova Haremspor
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.6 / 84.6	79.7 / 76.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75 / 80	85.4 / 69
Est. result	75	83

Est. total157.3

Line O/U159.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.40

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+10.5)1.83

2 (-10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 158.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.42 ★
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 15%

Time*	1	2
15:13 +8’	4.40	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:47 +61’	4.36	1.09
18:58 +11’	4.43▲	1.08▼
09:51 +6’	4.42▼	1.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Darussafaka 1–0–1 Yalova Haremspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Turkiye TBL	Darussafaka	72-79	Yalova Haremspor
16/10/25 Turkiye TBL	Yalova Haremspor	70-86	Darussafaka

Standings · Turkiye TBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kahramanmaras Istiklal	5	4	1	410	364	9
2	Final Spor	6	3	3	482	490	9
3	Yalova Haremspor	5	4	1	427	345	9
4	Mersin BBGSK	4	4	0	360	300	8
5	Goztepe	4	4	0	321	276	8
6	TED Ankara	6	2	4	479	495	8
7	Gaziantep	5	3	2	383	392	8
8	Buyukcekmece	4	4	0	333	286	8
9	Pizzabulls CO Basket	5	2	3	360	398	7
10	iLab Basketbol	5	2	3	412	403	7
11	Darussafaka	5	2	3	375	400	7
12	Fenerbahce Gelisim	5	2	3	349	383	7
13	Kecioren Belediyesi Baglum	5	1	4	411	425	6
14	Balikesir Buyuksehir Belediyespor	5	1	4	361	379	6
15	Konya BB Spor	5	1	4	368	408	6
16	Ankaragucu	4	1	3	300	386	5
17	Ormanspor	4	1	3	325	326	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Darussafaka	Yalova Haremspor
Pizzabulls CO Basket	73-81 L	75-89 L
Final Spor	75-83 L	60-88 L
Gaziantep	68-101 L	67-70 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Darussafaka (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darussafaka

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Pizzabulls CO Basket Turkiye TBL	73-81	L
04/10	Final Spor Turkiye TBL	75-83	L
26/09	Kecioren Belediyesi Baglum Turkiye TBL	91-83	W
20/09	Balikesir Buyuksehir Belediyespor Turkiye TBL	67-65	W
12/09	TED Ankara Turkiye TBL	69-88	L
22/04	Pizzabulls CO Basket Turkiye TBL	80-84	L
18/04	TED Ankara Turkiye TBL	110-105	W
13/04	Kocaeli Kagitspor Turkiye TBL	65-83	L
08/04	Gaziantep Turkiye TBL	68-101	L
03/04	Ormanspor Turkiye TBL	68-73	L

Yalova Haremspor

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	Fenerbahce Gelisim Turkiye TBL	74-51	W
03/10	Gaziantep Turkiye TBL	67-70	L
26/09	iLab Basketbol Turkiye TBL	82-81	W
20/09	Konya BB Spor Turkiye TBL	91-81	W
12/09	Ankaragucu Turkiye TBL	113-62	W
18/04	Fenerbahce Gelisim Turkiye TBL	78-70	W
12/04	Bordo Basketbol Turkiye TBL	77-84	L
04/04	Pizzabulls CO Basket Turkiye TBL	75-89	L
30/03	Ankaragucu Turkiye TBL	80-87	L
22/03	Final Spor Turkiye TBL	60-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darussafaka vs Yalova Haremspor?

Our model gives 72% to Yalova Haremspor.

How many points are expected in Darussafaka vs Yalova Haremspor?

The model estimates 157.3 total points (Darussafaka 74.6 · Yalova Haremspor 82.7).