Basketball · France Nationale 1 · 02/10, 20:30
Prediction: Vitre Aurore vs Angers BC
Team pages: Vitre Aurore · Angers BC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.7Total
Vitre Aurore77
Angers BC72.7
1X2
Vitre Aurore
Angers BC
Recent form · 10 last
Vitre Aurore
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Angers BC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vitre Aurore
3–3
Angers BC
(6 last)
- Angers BC72-71Vitre Aurore
- Vitre Aurore66-79Angers BC
- Angers BC84-97Vitre Aurore
- Vitre Aurore74-61Angers BC
- Angers BC69-54Vitre Aurore
- Vitre Aurore65-58Angers BC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vitre Aurore 1480 · Angers BC 1557
| Vitre Aurore | Angers BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.7 points · Bet365 line 147.5 · +2.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.7Vitre Aurore 77 · Angers BC 72.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Angers BC (rating 1480 vs 1557).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Vitre Aurore | Angers BC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.7 / 74.8 | 74.5 / 73.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.6 / 72.8 | 69.2 / 69.8 |
| Est. result | 77 | 73 |
Est. total149.7
Line O/U147.5
Diff.2.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitre Aurore 3–0–3 Angers BC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Club Friendlies | Angers BC | 72-71 | Vitre Aurore |
| 05/12/25 France Nationale 1 | Vitre Aurore | 66-79 | Angers BC |
| 19/09/25 France Nationale 1 | Angers BC | 84-97 | Vitre Aurore |
| 17/01/25 France Nationale 1 | Vitre Aurore | 74-61 | Angers BC |
| 18/10/24 France Nationale 1 | Angers BC | 69-54 | Vitre Aurore |
| 08/01/22 France Nationale 1 | Vitre Aurore | 65-58 | Angers BC |
Standings · France Nationale 1 · Nationale 1 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CEP Lorient | 3 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 220 | 5 |
| 2 | Angers BC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 185 | 5 |
| 3 | Vendee Challans Basket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 167 | 139 | 4 |
| 4 | Pays de Fougères Basket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 130 | 115 | 4 |
| 5 | Union Tours Basket Metropole | 3 | 1 | 2 | 231 | 239 | 4 |
| 6 | JSA Bordeaux | 3 | 1 | 2 | 225 | 234 | 4 |
| 7 | Les Sables Vendee | 3 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 221 | 4 |
| 8 | Union Rennes Basket 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 149 | 3 |
| 9 | Union Tarbes Lourdes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 154 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitre Aurore | 2 | 1 | 1 | 132 | 136 | 3 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 85 | 2 |
| 12 | C’Chartres Basket M | 2 | 0 | 2 | 148 | 168 | 2 |
| 13 | US Laval | 2 | 0 | 2 | 135 | 163 | 2 |
| 14 | Pole France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vitre Aurore | Angers BC |
|---|---|---|
| Besancon Avenir Comtois | 82-59 W | 76-79 L |
| Pays Salonais | 74-85 L | 72-75 L |
| Saint-Vallier | 75-84 L | 99-95 W |
| Charleville-Mézières | 67-76 L | 86-80 W |
| SCABB | 91-72 W | 77-80 L |
| Metz BC | 74-79 L | 88-71 W |
| LYONSO | 69-73 L | 55-69 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Angers BC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vitre Aurore
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | CEP Lorient France Nationale 1 |
63-70 | L |
| 25/09 | Union Tarbes Lourdes France Nationale 1 |
69-66 | W |
| 08/05 | Besancon Avenir Comtois France Nationale 1 |
82-59 | W |
| 05/05 | Pays Salonais France Nationale 1 |
74-85 | L |
| 30/04 | Saint-Vallier France Nationale 1 |
75-84 | L |
| 26/04 | Charleville-Mézières France Nationale 1 |
67-76 | L |
| 21/04 | SCABB France Nationale 1 |
91-72 | W |
| 17/04 | Metz BC France Nationale 1 |
74-79 | L |
| 10/04 | LYONSO France Nationale 1 |
69-73 | L |
| 03/04 | Besancon Avenir Comtois France Nationale 1 |
93-84 | W |
Angers BC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Pays de Fougères Basket France Nationale 1 |
54-64 | L |
| 25/09 | JSA Bordeaux France Nationale 1 |
63-56 | W |
| 18/09 | Union Tours Basket Metropole France Nationale 1 |
75-65 | W |
| 08/05 | Saint-Vallier France Nationale 1 |
99-95 | W |
| 05/05 | LYONSO France Nationale 1 |
55-69 | L |
| 30/04 | Charleville-Mézières France Nationale 1 |
86-80 | W |
| 26/04 | SCABB France Nationale 1 |
77-80 | L |
| 21/04 | Pays Salonais France Nationale 1 |
72-75 | L |
| 17/04 | Besancon Avenir Comtois France Nationale 1 |
76-79 | L |
| 08/04 | Metz BC France Nationale 1 |
88-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vitre Aurore vs Angers BC?
Our model gives 62% to Vitre Aurore.
How many points are expected in Vitre Aurore vs Angers BC?
The model estimates 149.7 total points (Vitre Aurore 77 · Angers BC 72.7).