Basketball · Spain Primera FEB · 24/10, 19:00
Prediction: Palencia vs Ourense
Team pages: Palencia · Ourense
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.3Total
Palencia84.9
Ourense76.4
1X2
Palencia
Ourense
Recent form · 10 last
Palencia
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ourense
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Palencia
5–1
Ourense
(6 last)
- Ourense90-93Palencia
- Palencia83-77Ourense
- Ourense94-84Palencia
- Palencia114-81Ourense
- Palencia86-80Ourense
- Ourense66-82Palencia
Model analysis
Estimated points161.3Palencia 84.9 · Ourense 76.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palencia (rating 1546 vs 1465).
- Palencia is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Palencia: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Palencia | Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.6 / 73.8 | 79.3 / 83.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.8 / 78 | 83.2 / 83 |
| Est. result | 85 | 76 |
Est. total161.3
Line O/U164.5
Diff.3.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palencia 5–0–1 Ourense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Spain Primera FEB | Ourense | 90-93 | Palencia |
| 16/01/26 Spain Primera FEB | Palencia | 83-77 | Ourense |
| 23/04/25 Spain Primera FEB | Ourense | 94-84 | Palencia |
| 14/12/24 Spain Primera FEB | Palencia | 114-81 | Ourense |
| 09/04/23 Spain Primera FEB | Palencia | 86-80 | Ourense |
| 11/12/22 Spain Primera FEB | Ourense | 66-82 | Palencia |
Standings · Spain Primera FEB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes | 4 | 4 | 0 | 350 | 291 | 8 |
| 2 | Lucentum Alicante | 4 | 4 | 0 | 344 | 299 | 8 |
| 3 | Estela | 4 | 4 | 0 | 342 | 309 | 8 |
| 4 | Gran Canaria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 358 | 296 | 7 |
| 5 | Palencia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 333 | 298 | 7 |
| 6 | Palmer Basket Mallorca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 345 | 334 | 7 |
| 7 | Ourense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 346 | 341 | 6 |
| 8 | Cordoba | 4 | 2 | 2 | 293 | 289 | 6 |
| 9 | Granada | 4 | 2 | 2 | 325 | 326 | 6 |
| 10 | Caja 87s | 4 | 2 | 2 | 304 | 307 | 6 |
| 11 | Albacete | 4 | 2 | 2 | 329 | 355 | 6 |
| 12 | Oviedo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 336 | 371 | 6 |
| 13 | Palma | 4 | 1 | 3 | 328 | 349 | 5 |
| 14 | CB Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 288 | 317 | 5 |
| 15 | Gipuzkoa Basket | 4 | 1 | 3 | 334 | 366 | 5 |
| 16 | Fuenlabrada | 4 | 0 | 4 | 303 | 336 | 4 |
| 17 | Tizona Burgos | 4 | 0 | 4 | 351 | 387 | 4 |
| 18 | Menorca | 4 | 0 | 4 | 275 | 313 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palencia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Spain Primera FEB |
77-86 | L |
| 09/10 | Menorca Spain Primera FEB |
91-76 | W |
| 02/10 | Cordoba Spain Primera FEB |
70-67 | W |
| 26/09 | Albacete Spain Primera FEB |
95-69 | W |
| 06/06 | Coruna Spain Primera FEB |
81-92 | L |
| 29/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
76-51 | W |
| 24/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
72-78 | L |
| 22/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
81-88 | L |
| 17/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
83-79 | W |
| 15/05 | Fuenlabrada Spain Primera FEB |
90-52 | W |
Ourense
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Lucentum Alicante Spain Primera FEB |
79-83 | L |
| 10/10 | Estela Spain Primera FEB |
86-101 | L |
| 04/10 | Gipuzkoa Basket Spain Primera FEB |
90-86 | W |
| 26/09 | Tizona Burgos Spain Primera FEB |
91-71 | W |
| 08/05 | Oviedo Spain Primera FEB |
70-74 | L |
| 03/05 | Melilla Spain Primera FEB |
93-84 | W |
| 26/04 | Menorca Spain Primera FEB |
70-73 | L |
| 21/04 | Palencia Spain Primera FEB |
90-93 | L |
| 17/04 | Monbus Obradoiro Spain Primera FEB |
57-94 | L |
| 11/04 | Estela Spain Primera FEB |
67-72 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palencia vs Ourense?
Our model gives 73% to Palencia.
How many points are expected in Palencia vs Ourense?
The model estimates 161.3 total points (Palencia 84.9 · Ourense 76.4).