Basketball · Czechia NBL · 04/11, 18:00

Prediction: Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs BK Decin

Team pages: Slavia Praha ERA NBK · BK Decin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.5Total

Slavia Praha ERA NBK95

BK Decin78.5

1X2

88% 12%

Slavia Praha ERA NBK BK Decin

Recent form · 10 last

Slavia Praha ERA NBK 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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BK Decin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slavia Praha ERA NBK 3–3 BK Decin (6 last)

BK Decin96-87Slavia Praha ERA NBK
Slavia Praha ERA NBK94-88BK Decin
BK Decin76-58Slavia Praha ERA NBK
Slavia Praha ERA NBK83-71BK Decin
BK Decin81-69Slavia Praha ERA NBK
Slavia Praha ERA NBK80-76BK Decin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slavia Praha ERA NBK 1565 · BK Decin 1549

	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	BK Decin
Our model	65%	35%
Market	94%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 173.5 points · Bet365 line 173.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.5Slavia Praha ERA NBK 95 · BK Decin 78.5

Match keys

Slavia Praha ERA NBK is a clear favourite (88% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	BK Decin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	98.4 / 81.1	84.5 / 79.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	97 / 83.4	84.4 / 80.8
Est. result	95	79

Est. total173.5

Line O/U173.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-23.5)1.83

2 (+23.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 171.95

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.00▼	Pinn 1.02 ★
2	11.00 → 17.00▲	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 5.4% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	2
16:41 +6’	1.02	11.00
18:46 +2’	1.05▲	8.50▼
20:15 +36’	1.02▼	11.00▲
13:18 +28’	1.01▼	15.00▲
16:42 +4’	1.00▼	17.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:37 +14’	1.04	7.79
20:27 +23’	1.04▼	7.88▲
21:47 +3’	1.03▼	8.53▲
15:46 +1’	1.03▼	8.75▲
16:36 +11’	1.03▲	8.58▼
17:13 +35’	1.03▼	8.94▲
18:16 +33’	1.02▼	10.00▲
20:45 +6’	1.02▼	10.15▲
10:41 +5’	1.02	10.12▼
12:45 +1’	1.02▼	10.72▲
13:44 +2’	1.01▼	10.97▲
14:44 +2’	1.02▲	10.58▼
15:44 +3’	1.02▼	10.60▲
16:25 +21’	1.02	10.68▲
17:32 +14’	1.02▲	10.39▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia Praha ERA NBK 3–0–3 BK Decin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/11/25 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	96-87	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
01/10/25 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	94-88	BK Decin
14/12/24 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	76-58	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
05/10/24 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	83-71	BK Decin
16/12/23 Czechia NBL	BK Decin	81-69	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
07/10/23 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	80-76	BK Decin

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	10	9	1	984	811
2	BK JIP Pardubice	11	9	2	985	862
3	BK Decin	9	6	3	767	701
4	Sokol Pisek	9	6	3	813	775
5	NH Ostrava	9	6	3	768	713
6	Usti Nad Labem	10	6	4	878	795
7	BK Opava	10	4	6	834	894
8	USK Praha	10	4	6	837	857
9	Brno	9	3	6	728	763
10	GAPA Hradec Kralove	10	3	7	853	927
11	BK Olomoucko	9	1	8	585	789
12	Lokomotiva Plzen	10	1	9	762	907

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	BK Decin
BK Opava	121-96 W	76-83 L
Sokol Pisek	89-81 W	84-99 L
NH Ostrava	79-91 L	87-76 W
BK JIP Pardubice	105-60 W	82-79 W
GAPA Hradec Kralove	101-75 W	93-99 L
BK Olomoucko	88-62 W	76-51 W
Brno	108-96 W	86-78 W
USK Praha	88-80 W	74-57 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Slavia Praha ERA NBK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slavia Praha ERA NBK

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	91-89	W
30/10	BK Opava Czechia NBL	121-96	W
23/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	89-81	W
17/10	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	79-91	L
10/10	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	105-60	W
03/10	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	101-75	W
30/09	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	88-62	W
26/09	Brno Czechia NBL	108-96	W
23/09	BK Opava Czechia NBL	114-81	W
19/09	USK Praha Czechia NBL	88-80	W

BK Decin

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	84-99	L
24/10	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	87-76	W
17/10	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	82-79	W
10/10	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	93-99	L
04/10	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	76-51	W
30/09	Brno Czechia NBL	86-78	W
26/09	BK Opava Czechia NBL	76-83	L
23/09	USK Praha Czechia NBL	74-57	W
17/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	109-79	W
11/05	Brno Czechia NBL	78-98	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs BK Decin?

Our model gives 88% to Slavia Praha ERA NBK.

How many points are expected in Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs BK Decin?

The model estimates 173.5 total points (Slavia Praha ERA NBK 95 · BK Decin 78.5).