Basketball · Brazil Paulista FPB U20 · 11/08, 00:00

Prediction: Mogi das Cruzes U20 vs Paulistano LDB U20

Team pages: Mogi das Cruzes U20

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.4Total

Mogi das Cruzes U2071.9

Paulistano LDB U2076.5

1X2

37% 63%

Mogi das Cruzes U20 Paulistano LDB U20

Recent form · 10 last

Mogi das Cruzes U20 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Paulistano LDB U20 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mogi das Cruzes U20 0–6 Paulistano LDB U20 (6 last)

Paulistano LDB U2081-80Mogi das Cruzes U20
Paulistano LDB U2084-62Mogi das Cruzes U20
Mogi das Cruzes U2080-94Paulistano LDB U20
Mogi das Cruzes U2079-80Paulistano LDB U20
Paulistano LDB U2094-61Mogi das Cruzes U20
Mogi das Cruzes U2055-79Paulistano LDB U20

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mogi das Cruzes U20 1522 · Paulistano LDB U20 1573

	Mogi das Cruzes U20	Paulistano LDB U20
Our model	56%	44%
Market	32%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 148.4 points · Bet365 line 148.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.4Mogi das Cruzes U20 71.9 · Paulistano LDB U20 76.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulistano LDB U20 (rating 1522 vs 1573).
H2H favours Paulistano LDB U20: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mogi das Cruzes U20	Paulistano LDB U20
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.3 / 67.8	82 / 60.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.4 / 78	80.8 / 54.4
Est. result	72	77

Est. total148.4

Line O/U148.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.85

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+7.5)1.83

2 (-7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 148.51.83

Under 148.51.83

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 146.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 3.94 ★
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	2
11:44 +2’	2.85	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:44 +1’	3.94	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mogi das Cruzes U20 0–0–6 Paulistano LDB U20

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/26 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Paulistano LDB U20	81-80	Mogi das Cruzes U20
31/10/24 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Paulistano LDB U20	84-62	Mogi das Cruzes U20
29/10/24 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Mogi das Cruzes U20	80-94	Paulistano LDB U20
16/09/24 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Mogi das Cruzes U20	79-80	Paulistano LDB U20
15/03/24 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Paulistano LDB U20	94-61	Mogi das Cruzes U20
26/08/23 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	Mogi das Cruzes U20	55-79	Paulistano LDB U20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mogi das Cruzes U20	Paulistano LDB U20
Sesi SP/Franca U20	64-68 L	55-48 W
Sorocaba U20	81-68 W	70-57 W
Sao Jose Desportivo U20	75-107 L	60-82 L
Limeira Basquete U20	88-58 W	82-53 W
Pinheiros U20	84-89 L	68-76 L
Santo Andre U20	105-76 W	118-24 W
Rio Claro U20	59-62 L	90-71 W
Santos U20	103-36 W	89-65 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paulistano LDB U20 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mogi das Cruzes U20

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/08	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	64-68	L
25/07	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	81-68	W
07/07	Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	75-107	L
30/06	Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	88-58	W
16/06	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	84-89	L
26/05	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	105-76	W
29/04	Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	59-62	L
23/04	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	103-36	W
19/04	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	100-52	W
09/04	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	64-62	W

Paulistano LDB U20

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/07	Santos U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	89-65	W
06/07	Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	118-24	W
17/06	Sesi SP/Franca U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	55-48	W
12/06	Sao Jose Desportivo U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	60-82	L
01/06	Limeira Basquete U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	82-53	W
19/05	Fundesport/Araraquara U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	107-52	W
01/05	Pinheiros U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	68-76	L
23/04	Sorocaba U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	70-57	W
18/04	Rio Claro U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	90-71	W
30/03	Mogi das Cruzes U20 Brazil Paulista FPB U20	81-80	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mogi das Cruzes U20 vs Paulistano LDB U20?

Our model gives 63% to Paulistano LDB U20.

How many points are expected in Mogi das Cruzes U20 vs Paulistano LDB U20?

The model estimates 148.4 total points (Mogi das Cruzes U20 71.9 · Paulistano LDB U20 76.5).