Prediction: Qingdao Eagles vs Jiangsu Dragons

Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.2Total
Qingdao Eagles83.7
Jiangsu Dragons81.5
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
56% 44%
Qingdao Eagles Jiangsu Dragons

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao Eagles 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLLWL
Jiangsu Dragons 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Qingdao Eagles 5–1 Jiangsu Dragons (6 last)
  • Qingdao Eagles102-69Jiangsu Dragons
  • Jiangsu Dragons76-83Qingdao Eagles
  • Jiangsu Dragons76-60Qingdao Eagles
  • Qingdao Eagles115-95Jiangsu Dragons
  • Jiangsu Dragons87-89Qingdao Eagles
  • Jiangsu Dragons75-79Qingdao Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Qingdao Eagles 1513 · Jiangsu Dragons 1468
Qingdao EaglesJiangsu Dragons
Our model69%31%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 165.2 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points165.2Qingdao Eagles 83.7 · Jiangsu Dragons 81.5

Match keys

  • H2H favours Qingdao Eagles: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Qingdao EaglesJiangsu Dragons
Points F|A (Last 10)89.1 / 89.283.6 / 85.4
Points F|A (Last 5)89.8 / 8887.8 / 84
Est. result8482
Est. total165.2
Line O/U164.5
Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Eagles 501 Jiangsu Dragons

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/03/26
China CBA
Qingdao Eagles102-69Jiangsu Dragons
30/12/25
China CBA
Jiangsu Dragons76-83Qingdao Eagles
27/08/25
China CBA Summer League
Jiangsu Dragons76-60Qingdao Eagles
19/03/25
China CBA
Qingdao Eagles115-95Jiangsu Dragons
09/12/24
China CBA
Jiangsu Dragons87-89Qingdao Eagles
04/10/24
Club Friendlies
Jiangsu Dragons75-79Qingdao Eagles

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQingdao EaglesJiangsu Dragons
Shenzhen Leopards 90-92 L 83-72 W
Zhejiang Golden Bulls 85-77 W 79-69 W
Shanxi Loongs 94-97 L 87-86 W
Liaoning Flying Leopards 98-96 W 89-108 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jiangsu Dragons (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Qingdao Eagles

WWLWLWLLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
08/08 Shenzhen Leopards
China CBA Summer League
90-92 L
07/08 Zhejiang Golden Bulls
China CBA Summer League
85-77 W
02/05 Shanxi Loongs
China CBA
94-97 L
29/04 Shanxi Loongs
China CBA
86-90 L
24/04 Xinjiang Flying Tigers
China CBA
94-84 W
19/04 Beijing Ducks
China CBA
90-95 L
17/04 Tianjin Pioneers
China CBA
106-97 W
14/04 Beijing Ducks
China CBA
70-87 L
12/04 Ningbo Rockets
China CBA
78-77 W
10/04 Liaoning Flying Leopards
China CBA
98-96 W

Jiangsu Dragons

WLLLLWWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
08/08 Zhejiang Golden Bulls
China CBA Summer League
79-69 W
07/08 Shenzhen Leopards
China CBA Summer League
83-72 W
24/04 Liaoning Flying Leopards
China CBA
89-108 L
20/04 Sichuan Blue Whales
China CBA
101-85 W
18/04 Shanxi Loongs
China CBA
87-86 W
16/04 Fujian Sturgeons
China CBA
76-84 L
13/04 Guangzhou Long-Lions
China CBA
67-80 L
11/04 Shenzhen Leopards
China CBA
88-93 L
09/04 Zhejiang Golden Bulls
China CBA
77-89 L
06/04 Beijing Royal Fighters
China CBA
89-88 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao Eagles vs Jiangsu Dragons?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Qingdao Eagles 56% · Jiangsu Dragons 44%).

How many points are expected in Qingdao Eagles vs Jiangsu Dragons?

The model estimates 165.2 total points (Qingdao Eagles 83.7 · Jiangsu Dragons 81.5).