Basketball · China CBA Summer League · 09/08, 09:00

Prediction: Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Shenzhen Leopards

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.4Total

Zhejiang Golden Bulls86.1

Shenzhen Leopards83.3

1X2

58% 42%

Zhejiang Golden Bulls Shenzhen Leopards

Recent form · 10 last

Zhejiang Golden Bulls 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Shenzhen Leopards 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zhejiang Golden Bulls 1–5 Shenzhen Leopards (6 last)

Zhejiang Golden Bulls91-95Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards108-95Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Zhejiang Golden Bulls90-92Shenzhen Leopards
Shenzhen Leopards92-82Zhejiang Golden Bulls
Zhejiang Golden Bulls110-89Shenzhen Leopards
Zhejiang Golden Bulls102-105Shenzhen Leopards

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhejiang Golden Bulls 1520 · Shenzhen Leopards 1518

	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Shenzhen Leopards
Our model	63%	37%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 169.4 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · +6.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.4Zhejiang Golden Bulls 86.1 · Shenzhen Leopards 83.3

Match keys

H2H favours Shenzhen Leopards: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Shenzhen Leopards
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.8 / 80.7	92.7 / 92.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83 / 89.6	85.6 / 88.4
Est. result	86	83

Est. total169.4

Line O/U162.5

Diff.6.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 12.5 · Est. total: 175

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
18:40 +7’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang Golden Bulls 1–0–5 Shenzhen Leopards

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	91-95	Shenzhen Leopards
07/05/26 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	108-95	Zhejiang Golden Bulls
20/01/26 China CBA	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	90-92	Shenzhen Leopards
03/01/26 China CBA	Shenzhen Leopards	92-82	Zhejiang Golden Bulls
05/12/25 China CBA Club Cup	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	110-89	Shenzhen Leopards
31/12/24 China CBA	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	102-105	Shenzhen Leopards

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Shenzhen Leopards
Jiangsu Dragons	69-79 L	72-83 L
Qingdao Eagles	77-85 L	92-90 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zhejiang Golden Bulls

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/08	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA Summer League	69-79	L
07/08	Qingdao Eagles China CBA Summer League	77-85	L
10/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	91-95	L
07/05	Shenzhen Leopards China CBA	95-108	L
02/05	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	83-81	W
29/04	Ningbo Rockets China CBA	65-57	W
24/04	Sichuan Blue Whales China CBA	104-81	W
20/04	Tianjin Pioneers China CBA	96-84	W
18/04	Liaoning Flying Leopards China CBA	76-71	W
16/04	Jilin Northeast Tigers China CBA	82-66	W

Shenzhen Leopards

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/08	Qingdao Eagles China CBA Summer League	92-90	W
07/08	Jiangsu Dragons China CBA Summer League	72-83	L
23/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	88-97	L
21/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	91-80	W
18/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	85-92	L
16/05	Zhejiang Lions China CBA	102-111	L
10/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	95-91	W
07/05	Zhejiang Golden Bulls China CBA	108-95	W
24/04	Guangzhou Long-Lions China CBA	99-86	W
19/04	Shandong Hi-Speed China CBA	95-103	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Shenzhen Leopards?

Our model gives 58% to Zhejiang Golden Bulls.

How many points are expected in Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs Shenzhen Leopards?

The model estimates 169.4 total points (Zhejiang Golden Bulls 86.1 · Shenzhen Leopards 83.3).