Basketball · Chile LNB · 09/08, 02:30

Prediction: Deportivo Valdivia vs Puerto Montt

Team pages: Deportivo Valdivia · Puerto Montt

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163Total

Deportivo Valdivia89.4

Puerto Montt73.6

1X2

87% 13%

Deportivo Valdivia Puerto Montt

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Valdivia 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Puerto Montt 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Valdivia 6–0 Puerto Montt (6 last)

Puerto Montt70-88Deportivo Valdivia
Puerto Montt75-97Deportivo Valdivia
Deportivo Valdivia103-56Puerto Montt
Puerto Montt72-82Deportivo Valdivia
Deportivo Valdivia70-64Puerto Montt
Deportivo Valdivia83-68Puerto Montt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Valdivia 1641 · Puerto Montt 1397

	Deportivo Valdivia	Puerto Montt
Our model	87%	13%
Market	87%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 163 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163Deportivo Valdivia 89.4 · Puerto Montt 73.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1641 vs 1397).
Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Deportivo Valdivia: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Deportivo Valdivia	Puerto Montt
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91 / 72.6	76 / 89.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88 / 70.4	73.2 / 93
Est. result	89	74

Est. total163

Line O/U159.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.08

27.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 159.51.83

Under 159.51.83

Diff.: 4.95 · Est. total: 164.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
2	7.25 → 7.25	Bet365 7.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 14.9%

Time*	1	2
12:38 +8’	1.08	7.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:43 +3’	1.04	5.25
13:46	1.04▲	5.21▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Valdivia 6–0–0 Puerto Montt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Montt	70-88	Deportivo Valdivia
10/05/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Montt	75-97	Deportivo Valdivia
07/05/26 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	103-56	Puerto Montt
23/04/26 Chile LNB	Puerto Montt	72-82	Deportivo Valdivia
02/04/26 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	70-64	Puerto Montt
06/05/24 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	83-68	Puerto Montt

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Valdivia	8	8	0	735	566	16
2	Espanol Osorno	9	7	2	773	752	16
3	Las Animas	10	3	7	856	827	13
4	Puerto Varas	9	4	5	694	746	13
5	ABA Ancud	9	4	5	748	757	13
6	CD Castro	10	3	7	719	856	13
7	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	7	2	5	533	554	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Valdivia	Puerto Montt
Espanol Osorno	77-70 W	67-79 L
ABA Ancud	86-64 W	88-90 L
CD Castro	92-79 W	89-86 W
Las Animas	100-71 W	84-91 L
Puerto Varas	85-68 W	81-86 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Valdivia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	77-70	W
03/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	86-64	W
02/08	CD Castro Chile LNB	92-79	W
27/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	100-71	W
26/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	85-68	W
18/07	Puerto Montt Chile LNB	88-70	W
16/07	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	108-82	W
13/07	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	97-78	W
12/07	CD Castro Chile LNB	90-54	W
22/05	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	87-90	L

Puerto Montt

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	70-88	L
14/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	81-86	L
12/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	84-91	L
10/05	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	75-97	L
07/05	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	56-103	L
04/05	CD Castro Chile LNB	89-86	W
30/04	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	88-90	L
27/04	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	67-79	L
23/04	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	72-82	L
18/04	Las Animas Chile LNB	78-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Valdivia vs Puerto Montt?

Our model gives 87% to Deportivo Valdivia.

How many points are expected in Deportivo Valdivia vs Puerto Montt?

The model estimates 163 total points (Deportivo Valdivia 89.4 · Puerto Montt 73.6).