Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 10/10, 20:45
Prediction: Herons Montecatini vs Dany Basket Quarrata
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158Total
Herons Montecatini82.1
Dany Basket Quarrata75.9
1X2
Herons Montecatini
Dany Basket Quarrata
Recent form · 10 last
Herons Montecatini
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Dany Basket Quarrata
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herons Montecatini 1507 · Dany Basket Quarrata 1482
| Herons Montecatini | Dany Basket Quarrata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
158 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158Herons Montecatini 82.1 · Dany Basket Quarrata 75.9
Match keys
- Herons Montecatini is a clear favourite (67% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Herons Montecatini | Dany Basket Quarrata | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.2 / 83.5 | 81.1 / 77.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.6 / 82.4 | 82.4 / 75.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total158
Line O/U155.5
Diff.2.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Latina Basket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 130 | 4 |
| 2 | Roseto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 153 | 4 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 137 | 4 |
| 4 | Virtus Roma 1960 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 51 | 2 |
| 5 | Golfo Piombino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 158 | 2 |
| 6 | Pielle Livorno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 144 | 2 |
| 7 | PSA Napoli EST | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 150 | 2 |
| 8 | Dany Basket Quarrata | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 163 | 2 |
| 9 | Janus Basket Fabriano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 158 | 2 |
| 10 | Raggisolaris Faenza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Mens Sana Siena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 157 | 2 |
| 12 | San Giobbe Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 145 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Luiss Roma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 134 | 153 | 2 |
| 14 | Herons Montecatini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 137 | 2 |
| 15 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 80 | 0 |
| 16 | Loreto Pesaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 141 | 162 | 0 |
| 17 | Lucca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 130 | 152 | 0 |
| 18 | San Severo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 159 | 188 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herons Montecatini
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lucca Italy National Serie B |
69-49 | W |
| 26/09 | Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B |
77-88 | L |
| 18/05 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
89-99 | L |
| 15/05 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
92-89 | W |
| 13/05 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
61-87 | L |
| 10/05 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
89-87 | W |
| 08/05 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
78-94 | L |
| 03/05 | Fortitudo Agrigento Italy National Serie B |
91-87 | W |
| 19/04 | Virtus Lumezzane Italy National Serie B |
73-78 | L |
| 15/04 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
83-77 | W |
Dany Basket Quarrata
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | PSA Napoli EST Italy National Serie B |
71-84 | L |
| 27/09 | Pielle Livorno Italy National Serie B |
88-79 | W |
| 31/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
72-68 | W |
| 28/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
94-67 | W |
| 26/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
87-79 | W |
| 23/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
90-96 | L |
| 21/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
82-83 | L |
| 15/05 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
86-91 | L |
| 13/05 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
66-70 | L |
| 10/05 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
75-54 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herons Montecatini vs Dany Basket Quarrata?
Our model gives 67% to Herons Montecatini.
How many points are expected in Herons Montecatini vs Dany Basket Quarrata?
The model estimates 158 total points (Herons Montecatini 82.1 · Dany Basket Quarrata 75.9).