Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Siaz Basket vs Ferrara Basket 2018
Team pages: Siaz Basket · Ferrara Basket 2018
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.3Total
Siaz Basket76.1
Ferrara Basket 201873.2
1X2
Siaz Basket
Ferrara Basket 2018
Recent form · 10 last
Siaz Basket
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ferrara Basket 2018
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siaz Basket 1504 · Ferrara Basket 2018 1575
| Siaz Basket | Ferrara Basket 2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.3 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.3Siaz Basket 76.1 · Ferrara Basket 2018 73.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferrara Basket 2018 (rating 1504 vs 1575).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Siaz Basket | Ferrara Basket 2018 | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.9 / 73.2 | 77.4 / 71.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.4 / 70 | 74.2 / 64 |
| Est. result | 76 | 73 |
Est. total149.3
Line O/U145.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonessa Brescia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 331 | 280 | 8 |
| 2 | Ferrara Basket 2018 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 294 | 252 | 8 |
| 3 | Orzi Basket | 4 | 3 | 1 | 311 | 261 | 6 |
| 4 | Virtus Lumezzane | 4 | 3 | 1 | 278 | 274 | 6 |
| 5 | Reggio Calabria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 286 | 291 | 4 |
| 6 | Legnano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 247 | 4 |
| 7 | Imola | 4 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 283 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortitudo Agrigento | 4 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 293 | 4 |
| 9 | Treviglio Brianza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 307 | 4 |
| 10 | Rucker Sanve | 4 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 287 | 4 |
| 11 | Aurora Desio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 322 | 4 |
| 12 | Costa D'Orlando | 4 | 2 | 2 | 313 | 309 | 4 |
| 13 | UCC Assigeco Piacenza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 299 | 273 | 4 |
| 14 | Siaz Basket | 3 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 198 | 2 |
| 15 | Fiorenzuola Bees | 4 | 1 | 3 | 302 | 302 | 2 |
| 16 | Sangiorgese Basket | 4 | 1 | 3 | 278 | 310 | 2 |
| 17 | Fulgor Basket Omegna | 3 | 0 | 3 | 192 | 234 | 0 |
| 18 | Tramarossa Vicenza | 4 | 0 | 4 | 249 | 325 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siaz Basket
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | UCC Assigeco Piacenza Italy National Serie B |
62-63 | L |
| 08/10 | Sangiorgese Basket Italy National Serie B |
72-57 | W |
| 03/10 | Aurora Desio Italy National Serie B |
72-78 | L |
| 15/05 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
91-86 | W |
| 13/05 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
70-66 | W |
| 10/05 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
54-75 | L |
| 08/05 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
77-71 | W |
| 26/04 | Aurora Desio Italy National Serie B |
91-78 | W |
| 18/04 | Fulgor Basket Omegna Italy National Serie B |
79-84 | L |
| 15/04 | Treviglio Brianza Italy National Serie B |
81-74 | W |
Ferrara Basket 2018
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Fiorenzuola Bees Italy National Serie B |
63-61 | W |
| 11/10 | Tramarossa Vicenza Italy National Serie B |
79-52 | W |
| 04/10 | Costa D'Orlando Italy National Serie B |
76-70 | W |
| 27/09 | Orzi Basket Italy National Serie B |
76-69 | W |
| 15/05 | Fulgor Fidenza Italy National Serie B |
77-68 | W |
| 13/05 | Fulgor Fidenza Italy National Serie B |
85-73 | W |
| 10/05 | Fulgor Fidenza Italy National Serie B |
79-81 | L |
| 08/05 | Fulgor Fidenza Italy National Serie B |
82-79 | W |
| 26/04 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
76-57 | W |
| 19/04 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
81-104 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siaz Basket vs Ferrara Basket 2018?
Our model gives 58% to Siaz Basket.
How many points are expected in Siaz Basket vs Ferrara Basket 2018?
The model estimates 149.3 total points (Siaz Basket 76.1 · Ferrara Basket 2018 73.2).