Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 08/11, 18:00

Prediction: Fiorenzuola Bees vs Virtus Lumezzane

Team pages: Fiorenzuola Bees · Virtus Lumezzane

Prediction summary

Estimated points

149.6Total

Fiorenzuola Bees76

Virtus Lumezzane73.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Fiorenzuola Bees Virtus Lumezzane

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fiorenzuola Bees 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLLLW

Virtus Lumezzane 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Fiorenzuola Bees 3–3 Virtus Lumezzane (6 last)

Virtus Lumezzane76-82Fiorenzuola Bees
Fiorenzuola Bees75-74Virtus Lumezzane
Fiorenzuola Bees84-71Virtus Lumezzane
Virtus Lumezzane81-52Fiorenzuola Bees
Fiorenzuola Bees53-68Virtus Lumezzane
Virtus Lumezzane91-68Fiorenzuola Bees

Model analysis

Estimated points149.6Fiorenzuola Bees 76 · Virtus Lumezzane 73.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fiorenzuola Bees	Virtus Lumezzane
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.9 / 73.4	77.5 / 71.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72 / 71	74.6 / 63
Est. result	76	74

Est. total149.6

Line O/U148

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1481.85

Under 1481.82

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 148.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.81 → 1.81	Pinn 1.81
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
18:09 +8’	1.81	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorenzuola Bees 3–0–3 Virtus Lumezzane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Italy National Serie B	Virtus Lumezzane	76-82	Fiorenzuola Bees
09/11/25 Italy National Serie B	Fiorenzuola Bees	75-74	Virtus Lumezzane
02/02/25 Italy National Serie B	Fiorenzuola Bees	84-71	Virtus Lumezzane
01/12/24 Italy National Serie B	Virtus Lumezzane	81-52	Fiorenzuola Bees
10/04/22 Italy National Serie B	Fiorenzuola Bees	53-68	Virtus Lumezzane
08/12/21 Italy National Serie B	Virtus Lumezzane	91-68	Fiorenzuola Bees

Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Virtus Lumezzane	6	5	1	436	399	10
2	Leonessa Brescia	6	5	1	467	432	10
3	Ferrara Basket 2018	6	5	1	440	406	10
4	UCC Assigeco Piacenza	6	4	2	469	436	8
5	Treviglio Brianza	6	4	2	465	448	8
6	Orzi Basket	6	4	2	485	413	8
7	Aurora Desio	6	3	3	445	470	6
8	Reggio Calabria	6	3	3	424	426	6
9	Costa D'Orlando	6	3	3	453	466	6
10	Rucker Sanve	6	3	3	468	430	6
11	Siaz Basket	6	3	3	437	410	6
12	Fiorenzuola Bees	6	2	4	451	449	4
13	Sangiorgese Basket	6	2	4	406	455	4
14	Fortitudo Agrigento	6	2	4	441	444	4
15	Imola	6	2	4	374	429	4
16	Legnano	6	2	4	392	397	4
17	Fulgor Basket Omegna	6	1	5	395	461	2
18	Tramarossa Vicenza	6	1	5	389	466	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fiorenzuola Bees	Virtus Lumezzane
UCC Assigeco Piacenza	81-83 L	92-83 W
Tramarossa Vicenza	68-73 L	71-65 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Virtus Lumezzane (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fiorenzuola Bees

LWWWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Imola Italy National Serie B	68-64	W
25/10	UCC Assigeco Piacenza Italy National Serie B	81-83	L
18/10	Ferrara Basket 2018 Italy National Serie B	61-63	L
11/10	Leonessa Brescia Italy National Serie B	74-82	L
04/10	Reggio Calabria Italy National Serie B	76-63	W
27/09	Aurora Desio Italy National Serie B	91-94	L
13/05	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	65-55	W
10/05	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	84-81	W
08/05	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	81-76	W
26/04	Tramarossa Vicenza Italy National Serie B	68-73	L

Virtus Lumezzane

WLWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Fulgor Basket Omegna Italy National Serie B	81-49	W
25/10	Fortitudo Agrigento Italy National Serie B	77-76	W
18/10	Tramarossa Vicenza Italy National Serie B	71-65	W
11/10	Treviglio Brianza Italy National Serie B	87-70	W
04/10	Legnano Italy National Serie B	57-55	W
27/09	Costa D'Orlando Italy National Serie B	63-84	L
26/04	UCC Assigeco Piacenza Italy National Serie B	92-83	W
19/04	Herons Montecatini Italy National Serie B	78-73	W
15/04	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	75-92	L
12/04	Capo D'Orlando Italy National Serie B	94-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fiorenzuola Bees vs Virtus Lumezzane?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fiorenzuola Bees 57% · Virtus Lumezzane 43%).

How many points are expected in Fiorenzuola Bees vs Virtus Lumezzane?

The model estimates 149.6 total points (Fiorenzuola Bees 76 · Virtus Lumezzane 73.6).