Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Virtus Roma 1960 vs Loreto Pesaro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.6Total
Virtus Roma 196081.7
Loreto Pesaro65.9
1X2
Virtus Roma 1960
Loreto Pesaro
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Roma 1960
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Loreto Pesaro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virtus Roma 1960
2–0
Loreto Pesaro
(2 last)
- Loreto Pesaro65-93Virtus Roma 1960
- Virtus Roma 196076-69Loreto Pesaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virtus Roma 1960 1539 · Loreto Pesaro 1472
| Virtus Roma 1960 | Loreto Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
147.6 points · Bet365 line 145.5 · +2.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points147.6Virtus Roma 1960 81.7 · Loreto Pesaro 65.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virtus Roma 1960 (rating 1539 vs 1472).
- Virtus Roma 1960 is a clear favourite (87% market).
- H2H favours Virtus Roma 1960: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Virtus Roma 1960 | Loreto Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.1 / 66.2 | 76.2 / 74.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.2 / 64 | 74.8 / 75.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 66 |
Est. total147.6
Line O/U145.5
Diff.2.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Roma 1960 2–0–0 Loreto Pesaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy National Serie B | Loreto Pesaro | 65-93 | Virtus Roma 1960 |
| 26/09/25 Italy National Serie B | Virtus Roma 1960 | 76-69 | Loreto Pesaro |
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Latina Basket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 130 | 4 |
| 2 | Roseto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 153 | 4 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 137 | 4 |
| 4 | Virtus Roma 1960 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 51 | 2 |
| 5 | Golfo Piombino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 158 | 2 |
| 6 | Pielle Livorno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 144 | 2 |
| 7 | PSA Napoli EST | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 150 | 2 |
| 8 | Dany Basket Quarrata | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 163 | 2 |
| 9 | Janus Basket Fabriano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 158 | 2 |
| 10 | Raggisolaris Faenza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Mens Sana Siena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 157 | 2 |
| 12 | San Giobbe Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 145 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Luiss Roma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 134 | 153 | 2 |
| 14 | Herons Montecatini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 137 | 2 |
| 15 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 80 | 0 |
| 16 | Loreto Pesaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 141 | 162 | 0 |
| 17 | Lucca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 130 | 152 | 0 |
| 18 | San Severo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 159 | 188 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virtus Roma 1960
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B |
81-51 | W |
| 21/06 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
67-71 | L |
| 18/06 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
63-66 | L |
| 15/06 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
73-54 | W |
| 13/06 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
72-78 | L |
| 10/06 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
66-61 | W |
| 08/06 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
64-69 | L |
| 31/05 | Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B |
86-62 | W |
| 28/05 | Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B |
63-77 | L |
| 26/05 | Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B |
66-73 | L |
Loreto Pesaro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Roseto Italy National Serie B |
70-83 | L |
| 26/09 | Luiss Roma Italy National Serie B |
71-79 | L |
| 15/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
83-72 | W |
| 13/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
62-71 | L |
| 10/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
88-72 | W |
| 08/05 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
70-62 | W |
| 26/04 | Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B |
87-86 | W |
| 22/04 | Jesi Academy Italy National Serie B |
84-80 | W |
| 18/04 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
83-72 | W |
| 12/04 | Imola Italy National Serie B |
64-71 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virtus Roma 1960 vs Loreto Pesaro?
Our model gives 87% to Virtus Roma 1960.
How many points are expected in Virtus Roma 1960 vs Loreto Pesaro?
The model estimates 147.6 total points (Virtus Roma 1960 81.7 · Loreto Pesaro 65.9).