Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 08/11, 18:00

Prediction: Pielle Livorno vs Loreto Pesaro

Team pages: Pielle Livorno · Loreto Pesaro

Prediction summary

Estimated points

150.7Total

Pielle Livorno80.7

Loreto Pesaro69.9

1X2

78% 22%

Pielle Livorno Loreto Pesaro

Recent form · 10 last

Pielle Livorno 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWWLWW

Loreto Pesaro 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Pielle Livorno 2–0 Loreto Pesaro (2 last)

Loreto Pesaro64-72Pielle Livorno
Pielle Livorno67-58Loreto Pesaro

Model analysis

Estimated points150.7Pielle Livorno 80.7 · Loreto Pesaro 69.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pielle Livorno (rating 1537 vs 1404).
Pielle Livorno is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours Pielle Livorno: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pielle Livorno	Loreto Pesaro
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.9 / 76.4	70.6 / 76.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 68.4	66.4 / 82.2
Est. result	81	70

Est. total150.7

Line O/U151

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1511.83

Under 1511.83

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 151.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.03
2	6.59 → 6.59	Pinn 6.59

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	2
18:09 +8’	1.03	6.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pielle Livorno 2–0–0 Loreto Pesaro

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Italy National Serie B	Loreto Pesaro	64-72	Pielle Livorno
28/12/25 Italy National Serie B	Pielle Livorno	67-58	Loreto Pesaro

Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Virtus Roma 1960	6	6	0	502	399	12
2	Herons Montecatini	6	5	1	458	435	10
3	Latina Basket	6	4	2	503	474	8
4	Pielle Livorno	6	4	2	485	430	8
5	San Giobbe Basket	6	4	2	514	466	8
6	Raggisolaris Faenza	6	4	2	484	430	8
7	Janus Basket Fabriano	6	3	3	459	494	6
8	Ravenna	6	3	3	452	455	6
9	PSA Napoli EST	6	3	3	460	454	6
10	Roseto	6	3	3	509	478	6
11	Mens Sana Siena	6	3	3	498	481	6
12	Lucca	6	2	4	448	466	4
13	Del Fes Avellino	6	2	4	451	479	4
14	Dany Basket Quarrata	6	2	4	462	505	4
15	Golfo Piombino	6	2	4	429	491	4
16	Luiss Roma	6	2	4	466	521	4
17	San Severo	6	2	4	473	508	4
18	Loreto Pesaro	6	0	6	403	490	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pielle Livorno	Loreto Pesaro
Luiss Roma	77-70 W	71-79 L
Golfo Piombino	93-66 W	64-75 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pielle Livorno (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pielle Livorno

LLWLLWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Luiss Roma Italy National Serie B	77-70	W
25/10	PSA Napoli EST Italy National Serie B	84-75	W
18/10	Del Fes Avellino Italy National Serie B	66-75	L
11/10	Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B	93-66	W
04/10	Janus Basket Fabriano Italy National Serie B	86-56	W
27/09	Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B	79-88	L
28/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	83-93	L
26/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	74-72	W
23/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	72-81	L
21/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	85-88	L

Loreto Pesaro

WWLWLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B	64-75	L
24/10	Raggisolaris Faenza Italy National Serie B	60-83	L
17/10	Herons Montecatini Italy National Serie B	73-76	L
10/10	Virtus Roma 1960 Italy National Serie B	65-94	L
04/10	Roseto Italy National Serie B	70-83	L
26/09	Luiss Roma Italy National Serie B	71-79	L
15/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	83-72	W
13/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	62-71	L
10/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	88-72	W
08/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	70-62	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pielle Livorno vs Loreto Pesaro?

Our model gives 78% to Pielle Livorno.

How many points are expected in Pielle Livorno vs Loreto Pesaro?

The model estimates 150.7 total points (Pielle Livorno 80.7 · Loreto Pesaro 69.9).