Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 14/11, 20:45

Prediction: Herons Montecatini vs San Severo

Team pages: Herons Montecatini · San Severo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.9Total

Herons Montecatini84.6

San Severo74.3

1X2

77% 23%

Herons Montecatini San Severo

Recent form · 10 last

Herons Montecatini 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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San Severo 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herons Montecatini 2–0 San Severo (2 last)

Herons Montecatini73-72San Severo
San Severo65-75Herons Montecatini

Model analysis

Estimated points158.9Herons Montecatini 84.6 · San Severo 74.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Herons Montecatini (rating 1548 vs 1425).
Herons Montecatini is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Herons Montecatini: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Herons Montecatini	San Severo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.2 / 77.2	78.5 / 84.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75 / 74	79.4 / 81.6
Est. result	85	74

Est. total158.9

Line O/U159

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1591.82

Under 1591.85

Diff.: 0 · Est. total: 159

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:49

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Pinn 1.25
2	3.22 → 3.22	Pinn 3.22

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
23:46 +3’	1.25	3.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herons Montecatini 2–0–0 San Severo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/25 Italy National Serie B	Herons Montecatini	73-72	San Severo
14/11/24 Italy National Serie B	San Severo	65-75	Herons Montecatini

Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Virtus Roma 1960	8	8	0	681	542	16
2	Herons Montecatini	8	6	2	601	584	12
3	Pielle Livorno	7	5	2	565	491	10
4	Latina Basket	8	5	3	635	623	10
5	San Giobbe Basket	8	5	3	660	620	10
6	Mens Sana Siena	8	5	3	662	634	10
7	Raggisolaris Faenza	8	5	3	630	566	10
8	Janus Basket Fabriano	8	5	3	633	641	10
9	PSA Napoli EST	7	4	3	553	539	8
10	Roseto	8	4	4	677	634	8
11	Luiss Roma	7	3	4	552	601	6
12	Golfo Piombino	8	3	5	571	628	6
13	Ravenna	8	3	5	620	642	6
14	Del Fes Avellino	8	3	5	598	635	6
15	San Severo	7	2	5	556	596	4
16	Lucca	8	2	6	585	630	4
17	Dany Basket Quarrata	8	2	6	609	670	4
18	Loreto Pesaro	8	0	8	534	646	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herons Montecatini	San Severo
Raggisolaris Faenza	69-67 W	76-90 L
Ravenna	79-73 W	85-79 W
Roseto	77-75 W	83-98 L
Lucca	69-49 W	72-82 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Herons Montecatini (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herons Montecatini

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Janus Basket Fabriano Italy National Serie B	74-82	L
07/11	Raggisolaris Faenza Italy National Serie B	69-67	W
01/11	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	79-73	W
24/10	Roseto Italy National Serie B	77-75	W
17/10	Loreto Pesaro Italy National Serie B	76-73	W
10/10	Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B	80-77	W
04/10	Lucca Italy National Serie B	69-49	W
26/09	Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B	77-88	L
18/05	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B	89-99	L
15/05	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B	92-89	W

San Severo

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Mens Sana Siena Italy National Serie B	83-88	L
01/11	Lucca Italy National Serie B	72-82	L
26/10	Virtus Roma 1960 Italy National Serie B	77-92	L
18/10	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	85-79	W
11/10	PSA Basket Italy National Serie B	80-67	W
04/10	Raggisolaris Faenza Italy National Serie B	76-90	L
27/09	Roseto Italy National Serie B	83-98	L
13/05	Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B	84-90	L
10/05	Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B	61-63	L
08/05	Rucker Sanve Italy National Serie B	84-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herons Montecatini vs San Severo?

Our model gives 77% to Herons Montecatini.

How many points are expected in Herons Montecatini vs San Severo?

The model estimates 158.9 total points (Herons Montecatini 84.6 · San Severo 74.3).