Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Aurora Desio vs Treviglio Brianza
Team pages: Aurora Desio · Treviglio Brianza
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.1Total
Aurora Desio77.3
Treviglio Brianza74.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Aurora Desio
Treviglio Brianza
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Markets
Under 157.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Desio
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Treviglio Brianza
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aurora Desio
1–3
Treviglio Brianza
(4 last)
- Aurora Desio92-72Treviglio Brianza
- Treviglio Brianza88-86Aurora Desio
- Treviglio Brianza89-82Aurora Desio
- Aurora Desio74-82Treviglio Brianza
Model analysis
Estimated points152.1Aurora Desio 77.3 · Treviglio Brianza 74.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Treviglio Brianza: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aurora Desio | Treviglio Brianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76 / 86 | 71.3 / 71.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.8 / 82.6 | 74.6 / 75.8 |
| Est. result | 77 | 75 |
Est. total152.1
Line O/U157.5
Diff.5.4
Over / Under20% / 80%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora Desio 1–0–3 Treviglio Brianza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Italy National Serie B | Aurora Desio | 92-72 | Treviglio Brianza |
| 15/10/25 Italy National Serie B | Treviglio Brianza | 88-86 | Aurora Desio |
| 09/02/25 Italy National Serie B | Treviglio Brianza | 89-82 | Aurora Desio |
| 17/11/24 Italy National Serie B | Aurora Desio | 74-82 | Treviglio Brianza |
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonessa Brescia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 331 | 280 | 8 |
| 2 | Ferrara Basket 2018 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 294 | 252 | 8 |
| 3 | Orzi Basket | 4 | 3 | 1 | 311 | 261 | 6 |
| 4 | Virtus Lumezzane | 4 | 3 | 1 | 278 | 274 | 6 |
| 5 | Reggio Calabria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 286 | 291 | 4 |
| 6 | Legnano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 247 | 4 |
| 7 | Imola | 4 | 2 | 2 | 235 | 283 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortitudo Agrigento | 4 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 293 | 4 |
| 9 | Treviglio Brianza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 307 | 4 |
| 10 | Rucker Sanve | 4 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 287 | 4 |
| 11 | Aurora Desio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 301 | 322 | 4 |
| 12 | Costa D'Orlando | 4 | 2 | 2 | 313 | 309 | 4 |
| 13 | UCC Assigeco Piacenza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 299 | 273 | 4 |
| 14 | Siaz Basket | 3 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 198 | 2 |
| 15 | Fiorenzuola Bees | 4 | 1 | 3 | 302 | 302 | 2 |
| 16 | Sangiorgese Basket | 4 | 1 | 3 | 278 | 310 | 2 |
| 17 | Fulgor Basket Omegna | 3 | 0 | 3 | 192 | 234 | 0 |
| 18 | Tramarossa Vicenza | 4 | 0 | 4 | 249 | 325 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Desio
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Leonessa Brescia Italy National Serie B |
62-80 | L |
| 11/10 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
67-79 | L |
| 03/10 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
78-72 | W |
| 27/09 | Fiorenzuola Bees Italy National Serie B |
94-91 | W |
| 26/04 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
78-91 | L |
| 18/04 | Fiorenzuola Bees Italy National Serie B |
83-88 | L |
| 15/04 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
63-87 | L |
| 11/04 | Tramarossa Vicenza Italy National Serie B |
70-75 | L |
| 05/04 | Fortitudo Agrigento Italy National Serie B |
94-98 | L |
| 29/03 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
71-99 | L |
Treviglio Brianza
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Costa D'Orlando Italy National Serie B |
100-77 | W |
| 11/10 | Virtus Lumezzane Italy National Serie B |
70-87 | L |
| 04/10 | Sangiorgese Basket Italy National Serie B |
80-73 | W |
| 27/09 | Reggio Calabria Italy National Serie B |
59-70 | L |
| 31/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
64-72 | L |
| 28/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
65-74 | L |
| 26/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
76-62 | W |
| 23/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
60-83 | L |
| 21/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
76-67 | W |
| 18/05 | Latina Basket Italy National Serie B |
63-53 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Desio vs Treviglio Brianza?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Aurora Desio 57% · Treviglio Brianza 43%).
How many points are expected in Aurora Desio vs Treviglio Brianza?
The model estimates 152.1 total points (Aurora Desio 77.3 · Treviglio Brianza 74.8).