Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 11/11, 20:30
Prediction: Treviglio Brianza vs Tramarossa Vicenza
Team pages: Treviglio Brianza · Tramarossa Vicenza
Prediction summary
Estimated points
148Total
Treviglio Brianza80.1
Tramarossa Vicenza67.8
1X2
Treviglio Brianza
Tramarossa Vicenza
Recent form · 10 last
Treviglio Brianza
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Tramarossa Vicenza
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treviglio Brianza
2–2
Tramarossa Vicenza
(4 last)
- Treviglio Brianza90-82Tramarossa Vicenza
- Tramarossa Vicenza79-74Treviglio Brianza
- Tramarossa Vicenza66-52Treviglio Brianza
- Treviglio Brianza84-61Tramarossa Vicenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Treviglio Brianza 1502 · Tramarossa Vicenza 1438
| Treviglio Brianza | Tramarossa Vicenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
148 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points148Treviglio Brianza 80.1 · Tramarossa Vicenza 67.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Treviglio Brianza (rating 1502 vs 1438).
- Treviglio Brianza is a clear favourite (81% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Treviglio Brianza | Tramarossa Vicenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 74.2 / 73.7 | 67.6 / 74.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.6 / 77.2 | 62.8 / 71 |
| Est. result | 80 | 68 |
Est. total148
Line O/U146.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treviglio Brianza 2–0–2 Tramarossa Vicenza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Italy National Serie B | Treviglio Brianza | 90-82 | Tramarossa Vicenza |
| 29/10/25 Italy National Serie B | Tramarossa Vicenza | 79-74 | Treviglio Brianza |
| 15/01/25 Italy National Serie B | Tramarossa Vicenza | 66-52 | Treviglio Brianza |
| 27/10/24 Italy National Serie B | Treviglio Brianza | 84-61 | Tramarossa Vicenza |
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Lumezzane | 7 | 6 | 1 | 534 | 494 | 12 |
| 2 | Ferrara Basket 2018 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 505 | 478 | 10 |
| 3 | UCC Assigeco Piacenza | 7 | 5 | 2 | 550 | 495 | 10 |
| 4 | Orzi Basket | 7 | 5 | 2 | 571 | 494 | 10 |
| 5 | Leonessa Brescia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 548 | 518 | 10 |
| 6 | Aurora Desio | 7 | 4 | 3 | 525 | 544 | 8 |
| 7 | Treviglio Brianza | 7 | 4 | 3 | 537 | 529 | 8 |
| 8 | Reggio Calabria | 7 | 4 | 3 | 488 | 483 | 8 |
| 9 | Siaz Basket | 7 | 4 | 3 | 518 | 482 | 8 |
| 10 | Costa D'Orlando | 7 | 4 | 3 | 544 | 551 | 8 |
| 11 | Rucker Sanve | 7 | 3 | 4 | 553 | 521 | 6 |
| 12 | Legnano | 7 | 3 | 4 | 464 | 462 | 6 |
| 13 | Fortitudo Agrigento | 7 | 2 | 5 | 500 | 525 | 4 |
| 14 | Fiorenzuola Bees | 7 | 2 | 5 | 546 | 547 | 4 |
| 15 | Sangiorgese Basket | 7 | 2 | 5 | 480 | 535 | 4 |
| 16 | Fulgor Basket Omegna | 7 | 2 | 5 | 468 | 517 | 4 |
| 17 | Imola | 7 | 2 | 5 | 430 | 502 | 4 |
| 18 | Tramarossa Vicenza | 7 | 1 | 6 | 446 | 530 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treviglio Brianza | Tramarossa Vicenza |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Lumezzane | 70-87 L | 65-71 L |
| Sangiorgese Basket | 80-73 W | 62-66 L |
| Reggio Calabria | 59-70 L | 57-64 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tramarossa Vicenza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treviglio Brianza
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Siaz Basket Italy National Serie B |
72-81 | L |
| 01/11 | Fortitudo Agrigento Italy National Serie B |
74-64 | W |
| 24/10 | Aurora Desio Italy National Serie B |
82-77 | W |
| 18/10 | Costa D'Orlando Italy National Serie B |
100-77 | W |
| 11/10 | Virtus Lumezzane Italy National Serie B |
70-87 | L |
| 04/10 | Sangiorgese Basket Italy National Serie B |
80-73 | W |
| 27/09 | Reggio Calabria Italy National Serie B |
59-70 | L |
| 31/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
64-72 | L |
| 28/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
65-74 | L |
| 26/05 | Montecatiniterme Basketball Italy National Serie B |
76-62 | W |
Tramarossa Vicenza
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Reggio Calabria Italy National Serie B |
57-64 | L |
| 01/11 | Sangiorgese Basket Italy National Serie B |
62-66 | L |
| 25/10 | Imola Italy National Serie B |
78-75 | W |
| 18/10 | Virtus Lumezzane Italy National Serie B |
65-71 | L |
| 11/10 | Ferrara Basket 2018 Italy National Serie B |
52-79 | L |
| 04/10 | UCC Assigeco Piacenza Italy National Serie B |
59-91 | L |
| 27/09 | Brescia Italy National Serie B |
73-84 | L |
| 30/04 | Capo D'Orlando Italy National Serie B |
59-72 | L |
| 26/04 | Fiorenzuola Bees Italy National Serie B |
73-68 | W |
| 19/04 | Monferrato Italy National Serie B |
98-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treviglio Brianza vs Tramarossa Vicenza?
Our model gives 81% to Treviglio Brianza.
How many points are expected in Treviglio Brianza vs Tramarossa Vicenza?
The model estimates 148 total points (Treviglio Brianza 80.1 · Tramarossa Vicenza 67.8).