Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 11/10, 18:00
Prediction: Pielle Livorno vs Golfo Piombino
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.9Total
Pielle Livorno82.6
Golfo Piombino72.3
1X2
Pielle Livorno
Golfo Piombino
Recent form · 10 last
Pielle Livorno
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Golfo Piombino
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pielle Livorno
5–1
Golfo Piombino
(6 last)
- Pielle Livorno103-93Golfo Piombino
- Golfo Piombino65-82Pielle Livorno
- Pielle Livorno69-82Golfo Piombino
- Golfo Piombino62-70Pielle Livorno
- Golfo Piombino74-83Pielle Livorno
- Pielle Livorno102-92Golfo Piombino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pielle Livorno 1527 · Golfo Piombino 1481
| Pielle Livorno | Golfo Piombino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
154.9 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +3.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154.9Pielle Livorno 82.6 · Golfo Piombino 72.3
Match keys
- Pielle Livorno is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Pielle Livorno: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pielle Livorno | Golfo Piombino | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.1 / 77.8 | 72.6 / 74.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.8 / 78 | 76.2 / 76.2 |
| Est. result | 83 | 72 |
Est. total154.9
Line O/U151.5
Diff.3.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pielle Livorno 5–0–1 Golfo Piombino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Italy National Serie B | Pielle Livorno | 103-93 | Golfo Piombino |
| 17/12/25 Italy National Serie B | Golfo Piombino | 65-82 | Pielle Livorno |
| 02/02/25 Italy National Serie B | Pielle Livorno | 69-82 | Golfo Piombino |
| 02/10/24 Italy National Serie B | Golfo Piombino | 62-70 | Pielle Livorno |
| 24/03/24 Italy National Serie B | Golfo Piombino | 74-83 | Pielle Livorno |
| 03/12/23 Italy National Serie B | Pielle Livorno | 102-92 | Golfo Piombino |
Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Latina Basket | 2 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 130 | 4 |
| 2 | Roseto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 153 | 4 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 137 | 4 |
| 4 | Virtus Roma 1960 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 81 | 51 | 2 |
| 5 | Golfo Piombino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 139 | 158 | 2 |
| 6 | Pielle Livorno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 144 | 2 |
| 7 | PSA Napoli EST | 2 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 150 | 2 |
| 8 | Dany Basket Quarrata | 2 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 163 | 2 |
| 9 | Janus Basket Fabriano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 158 | 2 |
| 10 | Raggisolaris Faenza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Mens Sana Siena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 155 | 157 | 2 |
| 12 | San Giobbe Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 145 | 149 | 2 |
| 13 | Luiss Roma | 2 | 1 | 1 | 134 | 153 | 2 |
| 14 | Herons Montecatini | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 137 | 2 |
| 15 | Del Fes Avellino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 80 | 0 |
| 16 | Loreto Pesaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 141 | 162 | 0 |
| 17 | Lucca | 2 | 0 | 2 | 130 | 152 | 0 |
| 18 | San Severo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 159 | 188 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pielle Livorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Janus Basket Fabriano Italy National Serie B |
86-56 | W |
| 27/09 | Dany Basket Quarrata Italy National Serie B |
79-88 | L |
| 28/05 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
83-93 | L |
| 26/05 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
74-72 | W |
| 23/05 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
72-81 | L |
| 21/05 | Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B |
85-88 | L |
| 18/05 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
85-75 | W |
| 15/05 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
68-78 | L |
| 13/05 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
81-88 | L |
| 10/05 | Legnano Italy National Serie B |
68-59 | W |
Golfo Piombino
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Virtus Roma 1960 Italy National Serie B |
51-81 | L |
| 26/09 | Herons Montecatini Italy National Serie B |
88-77 | W |
| 03/05 | Raggisolaris Faenza Italy National Serie B |
77-81 | L |
| 30/04 | Jesi Academy Italy National Serie B |
73-68 | W |
| 26/04 | San Severo Italy National Serie B |
92-74 | W |
| 20/04 | Imola Italy National Serie B |
63-80 | L |
| 15/04 | San Giobbe Basket Italy National Serie B |
60-80 | L |
| 12/04 | Ferrara Basket 2018 Italy National Serie B |
69-61 | W |
| 04/04 | Janus Basket Fabriano Italy National Serie B |
77-82 | L |
| 22/03 | Virtus Imola Italy National Serie B |
76-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pielle Livorno vs Golfo Piombino?
Our model gives 77% to Pielle Livorno.
How many points are expected in Pielle Livorno vs Golfo Piombino?
The model estimates 154.9 total points (Pielle Livorno 82.6 · Golfo Piombino 72.3).