Basketball · Italy National Serie B · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Loreto Pesaro vs Raggisolaris Faenza

Team pages: Loreto Pesaro · Raggisolaris Faenza

Prediction summary

Estimated points

150.6Total

Loreto Pesaro74.7

Raggisolaris Faenza75.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Loreto Pesaro Raggisolaris Faenza

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Loreto Pesaro 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Raggisolaris Faenza 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Loreto Pesaro 1–1 Raggisolaris Faenza (2 last)

Loreto Pesaro72-57Raggisolaris Faenza
Raggisolaris Faenza78-69Loreto Pesaro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loreto Pesaro 1460 · Raggisolaris Faenza 1479

	Loreto Pesaro	Raggisolaris Faenza
Our model	60%	40%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 150.6 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points150.6Loreto Pesaro 74.7 · Raggisolaris Faenza 75.8

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Loreto Pesaro	Raggisolaris Faenza
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.3 / 77.5	74.8 / 75.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72.4 / 80.8	77.8 / 76.8
Est. result	75	76

Est. total150.6

Line O/U149.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 149.51.83

Under 149.51.83

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 151.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.30 ★
2	1.83 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
20:48 +15’	1.83	1.83
22:40 +8’	2.12▲	1.65▼
16:44 +9’	2.25▲	1.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:09 +46’	2.02	1.68
18:35 +26’	1.76▼	1.92▲
22:38 +11’	2.15▲	1.59▼
13:01 +57’	2.20▲	1.62▲
16:07 +46’	2.30▲	1.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loreto Pesaro 1–0–1 Raggisolaris Faenza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/26 Italy National Serie B	Loreto Pesaro	72-57	Raggisolaris Faenza
15/10/25 Italy National Serie B	Raggisolaris Faenza	78-69	Loreto Pesaro

Standings · Italy National Serie B · Serie B 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Virtus Roma 1960	4	4	0	333	253	8
2	Janus Basket Fabriano	4	3	1	294	305	6
3	Ravenna	4	3	1	311	291	6
4	Herons Montecatini	4	3	1	302	287	6
5	Roseto	4	3	1	365	324	6
6	Latina Basket	3	2	1	257	238	4
7	Dany Basket Quarrata	4	2	2	322	325	4
8	Raggisolaris Faenza	4	2	2	322	302	4
9	Mens Sana Siena	4	2	2	337	317	4
10	Luiss Roma	4	2	2	299	340	4
11	San Giobbe Basket	4	2	2	324	316	4
12	Pielle Livorno	4	2	2	324	285	4
13	San Severo	4	2	2	324	334	4
14	PSA Napoli EST	3	1	2	223	230	2
15	Del Fes Avellino	4	1	3	279	303	2
16	Golfo Piombino	4	1	3	271	339	2
17	Lucca	4	0	4	281	326	0
18	Loreto Pesaro	4	0	4	279	332	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loreto Pesaro

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Herons Montecatini Italy National Serie B	73-76	L
10/10	Virtus Roma 1960 Italy National Serie B	65-94	L
04/10	Roseto Italy National Serie B	70-83	L
26/09	Luiss Roma Italy National Serie B	71-79	L
15/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	83-72	W
13/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	62-71	L
10/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	88-72	W
08/05	Monferrato Italy National Serie B	70-62	W
26/04	Juvecaserta 2021 Italy National Serie B	87-86	W
22/04	Jesi Academy Italy National Serie B	84-80	W

Raggisolaris Faenza

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B	88-66	W
11/10	Ravenna Italy National Serie B	69-78	L
04/10	San Severo Italy National Serie B	90-76	W
27/09	Latina Basket Italy National Serie B	75-82	L
14/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	67-82	L
10/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	69-80	L
08/05	Vigevano 1955 Italy National Serie B	58-68	L
03/05	Golfo Piombino Italy National Serie B	81-77	W
26/04	Latina Basket Italy National Serie B	62-70	L
22/04	San Giobbe Basket Italy National Serie B	89-74	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loreto Pesaro vs Raggisolaris Faenza?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Loreto Pesaro 47% · Raggisolaris Faenza 53%).

How many points are expected in Loreto Pesaro vs Raggisolaris Faenza?

The model estimates 150.6 total points (Loreto Pesaro 74.7 · Raggisolaris Faenza 75.8).