Basketball · Chile LNB · 08/08, 02:00

Prediction: Colegio Los Leones vs Universidad Catolica

Team pages: Colegio Los Leones · Universidad Catolica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

153.8Total

Colegio Los Leones84.2

Universidad Catolica69.6

1X2

85% 15%

Colegio Los Leones Universidad Catolica

Recent form · 10 last

Colegio Los Leones 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWW

Universidad Catolica 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Colegio Los Leones 6–0 Universidad Catolica (6 last)

Universidad Catolica71-72Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones83-81Universidad Catolica
Colegio Los Leones76-73Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica64-81Colegio Los Leones
Universidad Catolica69-78Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones88-58Universidad Catolica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colegio Los Leones 1658 · Universidad Catolica 1458

	Colegio Los Leones	Universidad Catolica
Our model	84%	16%
Market	85%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 153.8 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points153.8Colegio Los Leones 84.2 · Universidad Catolica 69.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Los Leones (rating 1658 vs 1458).
Colegio Los Leones is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Colegio Los Leones: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Colegio Los Leones	Universidad Catolica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.8 / 71.9	78 / 80.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 69.8	84.8 / 82.4
Est. result	84	70

Est. total153.8

Line O/U153.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-12.5)1.80

2 (+12.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 153.51.83

Under 153.51.83

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 155.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5% Pinnacle margin 14.8%

Time*	1	2
15:40 +6’	1.10	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:44 +2’	1.04	5.36
16:42 +3’	1.04▼	5.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colegio Los Leones 6–0–0 Universidad Catolica

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	71-72	Colegio Los Leones
08/05/26 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	83-81	Universidad Catolica
20/04/26 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	76-73	Universidad Catolica
29/03/26 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	64-81	Colegio Los Leones
22/10/25 Chile LNB	Universidad Catolica	69-78	Colegio Los Leones
10/10/25 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	88-58	Universidad Catolica

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference Center

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colegio Los Leones	6	6	0	495	411	12
2	CDU Concepcion	6	5	1	606	490	11
3	Universidad Catolica	6	4	2	494	481	10
4	CSD Colo Colo	8	2	6	605	643	10
5	Puente Alto	6	1	5	466	508	7
6	CD Espanol Talca	6	1	5	452	585	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colegio Los Leones	Universidad Catolica
CSD Colo Colo	61-60 W	81-70 W
CDU Concepcion	86-74 W	83-104 L
Puente Alto	88-75 W	68-77 L
CD Espanol Talca	100-63 W	99-80 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colegio Los Leones (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colegio Los Leones

WLWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/08	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	61-60	W
04/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	86-74	W
02/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	88-75	W
27/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	100-63	W
16/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	87-77	W
12/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	73-62	W
14/06	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	77-71	W
10/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	79-78	W
08/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	74-81	L
07/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	83-78	W

Universidad Catolica

LLLLWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	99-80	W
31/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	81-70	W
26/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	68-77	L
20/07	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	83-104	L
11/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	93-81	W
09/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	70-69	W
10/05	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	71-72	L
08/05	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	81-83	L
04/05	Puente Alto Chile LNB	70-78	L
01/05	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	64-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colegio Los Leones vs Universidad Catolica?

Our model gives 85% to Colegio Los Leones.

How many points are expected in Colegio Los Leones vs Universidad Catolica?

The model estimates 153.8 total points (Colegio Los Leones 84.2 · Universidad Catolica 69.6).