Basketball · Chile LNB · 07/08, 02:00

Prediction: Las Animas vs CD Castro

Team pages: Las Animas · CD Castro

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165Total

Las Animas86.8

CD Castro78.2

1X2

73% 27%

Las Animas CD Castro

Recent form · 10 last

Las Animas 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLL

CD Castro 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Las Animas 5–1 CD Castro (6 last)

CD Castro87-76Las Animas
CD Castro69-92Las Animas
Las Animas112-71CD Castro
CD Castro71-86Las Animas
Las Animas104-67CD Castro
Las Animas87-75CD Castro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Las Animas 1470 · CD Castro 1421

	Las Animas	CD Castro
Our model	69%	31%
Market	74%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 165 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165Las Animas 86.8 · CD Castro 78.2

Match keys

Las Animas is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Las Animas: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Las Animas	CD Castro
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.4 / 85	73.2 / 84.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80 / 90.6	75 / 83.4
Est. result	87	78

Est. total165

Line O/U165.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.26

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 162.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.31 → 1.26▼	Bet365 1.26
2	3.20 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 14.3%

Time*	1	2
13:41 +4’	1.31	3.20
15:33 +12’	1.26▼	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:41 +4’	1.17	3.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Animas 5–0–1 CD Castro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Chile LNB	CD Castro	87-76	Las Animas
11/05/26 Chile LNB	CD Castro	69-92	Las Animas
08/05/26 Chile LNB	Las Animas	112-71	CD Castro
26/04/26 Chile LNB	CD Castro	71-86	Las Animas
05/04/26 Chile LNB	Las Animas	104-67	CD Castro
28/04/24 Chile LNB	Las Animas	87-75	CD Castro

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Espanol Osorno	8	7	1	703	675	15
2	Deportivo Valdivia	7	7	0	658	496	14
3	ABA Ancud	9	4	5	748	757	13
4	Puerto Varas	9	4	5	694	746	13
5	CD Castro	9	3	6	663	752	12
6	Las Animas	9	2	7	752	771	11
7	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	7	2	5	533	554	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Las Animas	CD Castro
ABA Ancud	76-87 L	76-73 W
Puerto Montt Basquetbol	78-83 L	69-64 W
Puerto Varas	90-91 L	67-102 L
Deportivo Valdivia	71-100 L	79-92 L
Espanol Osorno	85-92 L	84-86 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castro (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Las Animas

LWWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	76-87	L
01/08	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	78-83	L
30/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	90-91	L
27/07	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	71-100	L
26/07	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	85-92	L
20/07	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	88-96	L
19/07	CD Castro Chile LNB	76-87	L
12/07	Puerto Montt Chile LNB	91-84	W
10/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	97-51	W
24/05	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	72-79	L

CD Castro

LLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/08	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	67-102	L
03/08	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	84-86	L
02/08	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	79-92	L
27/07	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	69-64	W
23/07	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	76-73	W
20/07	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	69-77	L
19/07	Las Animas Chile LNB	87-76	W
13/07	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	78-92	L
12/07	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	54-90	L
11/05	Las Animas Chile LNB	69-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Las Animas vs CD Castro?

Our model gives 73% to Las Animas.

How many points are expected in Las Animas vs CD Castro?

The model estimates 165 total points (Las Animas 86.8 · CD Castro 78.2).