Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: Brose Bamberg vs Telekom Bonn

Team pages: Brose Bamberg · Telekom Bonn

Prediction summary

Estimated points

167.1Total

Brose Bamberg84.2

Telekom Bonn82.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Brose Bamberg Telekom Bonn

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Brose Bamberg 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWWL

Telekom Bonn 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Brose Bamberg 2–4 Telekom Bonn (6 last)

Brose Bamberg102-83Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn76-74Brose Bamberg
Telekom Bonn87-77Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg92-73Telekom Bonn
Brose Bamberg79-89Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn88-74Brose Bamberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brose Bamberg 1474 · Telekom Bonn 1525

	Brose Bamberg	Telekom Bonn
Our model	56%	44%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 167.1 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points167.1Brose Bamberg 84.2 · Telekom Bonn 82.8

Match keys

H2H favours Telekom Bonn: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brose Bamberg	Telekom Bonn
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.2 / 85	83 / 82.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.8 / 81.6	90.2 / 82
Est. result	84	83

Est. total167.1

Line O/U169.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.77

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.87

Under 169.51.87

Diff.: 2 · Est. total: 167.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.77	Bet365 1.77
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	2
16:24 +24’	1.77	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brose Bamberg 2–0–4 Telekom Bonn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	102-83	Telekom Bonn
05/01/26 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	76-74	Brose Bamberg
15/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	87-77	Brose Bamberg
14/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	92-73	Telekom Bonn
30/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	Brose Bamberg	79-89	Telekom Bonn
29/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	88-74	Brose Bamberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	768	561	14
2	Trier	7	6	1	689	603	12
3	Syntainics MBC	8	6	2	693	641	12
4	Rostock Seawolves	8	5	3	718	659	10
5	Telekom Bonn	8	5	3	704	660	10
6	Fraport Skyliners	6	4	2	524	500	8
7	S.Oliver Wurzburg	7	4	3	570	575	8
8	Brose Bamberg	8	4	4	695	686	8
9	Ludwigsburg	8	4	4	682	688	8
10	Oldenburg	8	4	4	595	656	8
11	Alba Berlin	8	4	4	690	702	8
12	Braunschweig	8	3	5	688	772	6
13	SC Vechta	8	3	5	690	726	6
14	Ratiopharm Ulm	8	3	5	660	691	6
15	Hamburg Towers	8	2	6	659	733	4
16	Jena	8	2	6	623	709	4
17	Chemnitz 99	8	2	6	697	720	4
18	Phoenix Hagen	8	2	6	672	735	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brose Bamberg	Telekom Bonn
Trier	79-92 L	80-106 L
Jena	88-78 W	115-68 W
Syntainics MBC	74-85 L	77-72 W
Alba Berlin	98-83 W	95-88 W
Ludwigsburg	96-103 L	68-84 L
Bayern Munich	72-108 L	57-77 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brose Bamberg

WLLWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Trier Germany Bundesliga	79-92	L
01/11	Jena Germany Bundesliga	88-78	W
23/10	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	80-70	W
10/10	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	74-85	L
03/10	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	98-83	W
26/09	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	96-103	L
24/09	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	108-67	W
20/09	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	72-108	L
09/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	66-97	L
06/06	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	81-67	W

Telekom Bonn

LLWLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga	97-87	W
01/11	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	95-88	W
24/10	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	68-84	L
09/10	Jena Germany Bundesliga	115-68	W
02/10	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	76-83	L
27/09	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	77-72	W
25/09	Trier Germany Bundesliga	80-106	L
19/09	Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga	96-72	W
04/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	57-77	L
01/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	69-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brose Bamberg vs Telekom Bonn?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Brose Bamberg 54% · Telekom Bonn 46%).

How many points are expected in Brose Bamberg vs Telekom Bonn?

The model estimates 167.1 total points (Brose Bamberg 84.2 · Telekom Bonn 82.8).