Basketball · Chile LNB · 06/08, 02:30

Prediction: CSD Colo Colo vs Colegio Los Leones

Team pages: CSD Colo Colo · Colegio Los Leones

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.5Total

CSD Colo Colo74.7

Colegio Los Leones80.8

1X2

33% 67%

CSD Colo Colo Colegio Los Leones

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Colo Colo 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLWLL

Colegio Los Leones 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CSD Colo Colo 1–5 Colegio Los Leones (6 last)

Colegio Los Leones87-77CSD Colo Colo
Colegio Los Leones81-61CSD Colo Colo
CSD Colo Colo85-88Colegio Los Leones
CSD Colo Colo68-75Colegio Los Leones
CSD Colo Colo71-62Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones93-54CSD Colo Colo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Colo Colo 1413 · Colegio Los Leones 1614

	CSD Colo Colo	Colegio Los Leones
Our model	35%	65%
Market	32%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 155.5 points · Bet365 line 155.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points155.5CSD Colo Colo 74.7 · Colegio Los Leones 80.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colegio Los Leones (rating 1413 vs 1614).
Colegio Los Leones is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Colegio Los Leones: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSD Colo Colo	Colegio Los Leones
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.9 / 84	82.5 / 74.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 88.2	86.8 / 70.2
Est. result	75	81

Est. total155.5

Line O/U155.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.85

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.83

2 (-6.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 160.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.85 → 2.85	Bet365 2.85
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	2
10:34 +11’	2.85	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:44 +1’	2.60	1.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Colo Colo 1–0–5 Colegio Los Leones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	87-77	CSD Colo Colo
23/04/26 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	81-61	CSD Colo Colo
02/04/26 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	85-88	Colegio Los Leones
11/12/25 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	68-75	Colegio Los Leones
10/12/25 Chile LNB	CSD Colo Colo	71-62	Colegio Los Leones
07/12/25 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	93-54	CSD Colo Colo

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference Center

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CDU Concepcion	6	5	1	606	490	11
2	Colegio Los Leones	5	5	0	434	351	10
3	Universidad Catolica	6	4	2	494	481	10
4	CSD Colo Colo	7	2	5	545	582	9
5	Puente Alto	6	1	5	466	508	7
6	CD Espanol Talca	6	1	5	452	585	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Colo Colo	Colegio Los Leones
CD Espanol Talca	67-80 L	100-63 W
Puente Alto	96-84 W	88-75 W
CDU Concepcion	76-109 L	86-74 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Colegio Los Leones (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Colo Colo

WLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	67-80	L
31/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	70-81	L
24/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	96-84	W
18/07	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	76-109	L
16/07	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	77-87	L
13/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	90-71	W
09/07	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	69-70	L
13/05	CD Boston College Chile LNB	71-84	L
11/05	CD Boston College Chile LNB	96-103	L
08/05	CD Boston College Chile LNB	77-71	W

Colegio Los Leones

LWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	86-74	W
02/08	Puente Alto Chile LNB	88-75	W
27/07	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	100-63	W
16/07	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	87-77	W
12/07	Puente Alto Chile LNB	73-62	W
14/06	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	77-71	W
10/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	79-78	W
08/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	74-81	L
07/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	83-78	W
01/06	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	78-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Colo Colo vs Colegio Los Leones?

Our model gives 67% to Colegio Los Leones.

How many points are expected in CSD Colo Colo vs Colegio Los Leones?

The model estimates 155.5 total points (CSD Colo Colo 74.7 · Colegio Los Leones 80.8).