Basketball · Chile LNB · 06/08, 02:00
Prediction: Puerto Varas vs CD Castro
Team pages: Puerto Varas · CD Castro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
157.5Total
Puerto Varas82.6
CD Castro74.9
1X2
Puerto Varas
CD Castro
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Varas
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
CD Castro
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Varas
4–2
CD Castro
(6 last)
- CD Castro69-77Puerto Varas
- CD Castro93-95Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas103-89CD Castro
- CD Castro61-54Puerto Varas
- Puerto Varas75-91CD Castro
- Puerto Varas81-75CD Castro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Varas 1484 · CD Castro 1436
| Puerto Varas | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
157.5 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points157.5Puerto Varas 82.6 · CD Castro 74.9
Match keys
- Puerto Varas is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Puerto Varas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Varas | CD Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.8 / 81 | 73.6 / 85.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.2 / 82.2 | 75.4 / 78.4 |
| Est. result | 83 | 75 |
Est. total157.5
Line O/U161.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Varas 4–0–2 CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 69-77 | Puerto Varas |
| 27/04/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 93-95 | Puerto Varas |
| 06/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 103-89 | CD Castro |
| 21/04/24 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 61-54 | Puerto Varas |
| 27/01/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Varas | 75-91 | CD Castro |
| 26/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | Puerto Varas | 81-75 | CD Castro |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Espanol Osorno | 8 | 7 | 1 | 703 | 675 | 15 |
| 2 | Deportivo Valdivia | 7 | 7 | 0 | 658 | 496 | 14 |
| 3 | ABA Ancud | 8 | 3 | 5 | 661 | 681 | 11 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 8 | 3 | 5 | 592 | 679 | 11 |
| 5 | CD Castro | 8 | 3 | 5 | 596 | 650 | 11 |
| 6 | Las Animas | 8 | 2 | 6 | 676 | 684 | 10 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 7 | 2 | 5 | 533 | 554 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Varas | CD Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Montt Basquetbol | 59-80 L | 69-64 W |
| Las Animas | 91-90 W | 87-76 W |
| Espanol Osorno | 76-87 L | 84-86 L |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 68-85 L | 79-92 L |
| ABA Ancud | 84-90 L | 76-73 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Castro (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Varas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
59-80 | L |
| 30/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
91-90 | W |
| 27/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
76-87 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
68-85 | L |
| 20/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
77-69 | W |
| 19/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
84-90 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
86-81 | W |
| 10/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
51-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
55-69 | L |
| 06/06 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
61-62 | L |
CD Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
84-86 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
79-92 | L |
| 27/07 | Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB |
69-64 | W |
| 23/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
76-73 | W |
| 20/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-77 | L |
| 19/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
87-76 | W |
| 13/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-92 | L |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
54-90 | L |
| 11/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
69-92 | L |
| 08/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
71-112 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Varas vs CD Castro?
Our model gives 71% to Puerto Varas.
How many points are expected in Puerto Varas vs CD Castro?
The model estimates 157.5 total points (Puerto Varas 82.6 · CD Castro 74.9).