Basketball · Australia NBL1 Central Women · 08/08, 10:00
Prediction: West Adelaide Bearcats (W) vs Sturt Sabres (W)
Team pages: West Adelaide Bearcats (W) · Sturt Sabres (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.3Total
West Adelaide Bearcats (W)83.7
Sturt Sabres (W)68.6
1X2
West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
Sturt Sabres (W)
Recent form · 10 last
West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Sturt Sabres (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
3–3
Sturt Sabres (W)
(6 last)
- West Adelaide Bearcats (W)83-64Sturt Sabres (W)
- Sturt Sabres (W)56-77West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
- West Adelaide Bearcats (W)93-66Sturt Sabres (W)
- Sturt Sabres (W)62-59West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
- Sturt Sabres (W)69-65West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
- West Adelaide Bearcats (W)74-79Sturt Sabres (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Adelaide Bearcats (W) 1617 · Sturt Sabres (W) 1546
| West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | Sturt Sabres (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.3 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.3West Adelaide Bearcats (W) 83.7 · Sturt Sabres (W) 68.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide Bearcats (W) (rating 1617 vs 1546).
- West Adelaide Bearcats (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | Sturt Sabres (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.4 / 60.1 | 80.4 / 65.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.6 / 59.2 | 74 / 67.8 |
| Est. result | 84 | 69 |
Est. total152.3
Line O/U148.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · West Adelaide Bearcats (W) 3–0–3 Sturt Sabres (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Australia NBL1 Central Women | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | 83-64 | Sturt Sabres (W) |
| 11/07/26 Australia NBL1 Central Women | Sturt Sabres (W) | 56-77 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) |
| 09/05/26 Australia NBL1 Central Women | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | 93-66 | Sturt Sabres (W) |
| 26/07/25 Australia NBL1 Central Women | Sturt Sabres (W) | 62-59 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) |
| 12/07/25 Australia NBL1 Central Women | Sturt Sabres (W) | 69-65 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) |
| 10/05/25 Australia NBL1 Central Women | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | 74-79 | Sturt Sabres (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 Central Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1750 | 1052 | 0 |
| 2 | Sturt Sabres (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1430 | 1114 | 0 |
| 3 | Norwood Flames (W) | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1402 | 1308 | 0 |
| 4 | South Adelaide Panthers (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1292 | 1308 | 0 |
| 5 | Forestville Eagles (W) | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1337 | 1262 | 0 |
| 6 | Woodville Warriors (W) | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1418 | 1431 | 0 |
| 7 | Southern Tigers (W) | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1203 | 1337 | 0 |
| 8 | North Adelaide Rockets (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1229 | 1423 | 0 |
| 9 | Central District Lions (W) | 18 | 4 | 14 | 1275 | 1566 | 0 |
| 10 | Eastern Mavericks (W) | 18 | 1 | 17 | 1174 | 1709 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) | Sturt Sabres (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Central District Lions (W) | 120-41 W | 75-62 W |
| Southern Tigers (W) | 105-57 W | 95-48 W |
| Norwood Flames (W) | 83-78 W | 72-51 W |
| Eastern Mavericks (W) | 120-49 W | 111-51 W |
| Woodville Warriors (W) | 113-76 W | 79-71 W |
| North Adelaide Rockets (W) | 105-42 W | 103-62 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: West Adelaide Bearcats (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Adelaide Bearcats (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sturt Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
83-64 | W |
| 11/07 | Sturt Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
77-56 | W |
| 04/07 | Central District Lions (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
120-41 | W |
| 28/06 | Southern Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
105-57 | W |
| 27/06 | Norwood Flames (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
83-78 | W |
| 20/06 | Forestville Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
79-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Eastern Mavericks (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
120-49 | W |
| 31/05 | Woodville Warriors (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
113-76 | W |
| 30/05 | South Adelaide Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
99-49 | W |
| 23/05 | North Adelaide Rockets (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
105-42 | W |
Sturt Sabres (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Norwood Flames (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
72-51 | W |
| 25/07 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
64-83 | L |
| 18/07 | Norwood Flames (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
75-66 | W |
| 11/07 | West Adelaide Bearcats (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
56-77 | L |
| 04/07 | North Adelaide Rockets (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
103-62 | W |
| 28/06 | Eastern Mavericks (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
111-51 | W |
| 27/06 | Southern Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
95-48 | W |
| 20/06 | Woodville Warriors (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
79-71 | W |
| 13/06 | Norwood Flames (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
74-85 | L |
| 31/05 | Central District Lions (W) Australia NBL1 Central Women |
75-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Adelaide Bearcats (W) vs Sturt Sabres (W)?
Our model gives 86% to West Adelaide Bearcats (W).
How many points are expected in West Adelaide Bearcats (W) vs Sturt Sabres (W)?
The model estimates 152.3 total points (West Adelaide Bearcats (W) 83.7 · Sturt Sabres (W) 68.6).