Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 04/08, 01:15
Prediction: Tabare vs Trouville
Team pages: Tabare · Trouville
Prediction summary
Estimated points
150.5Total
Tabare73.3
Trouville77.2
1X2
Tabare
Trouville
Recent form · 10 last
Tabare
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Trouville
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tabare
0–1
Trouville
(1 last)
- Trouville76-64Tabare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tabare 1513 · Trouville 1570
| Tabare | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
150.5 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points150.5Tabare 73.3 · Trouville 77.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trouville (rating 1513 vs 1570).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tabare | Trouville | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.6 / 73.9 | 80.1 / 66 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.6 / 80.6 | 67.2 / 63 |
| Est. result | 73 | 77 |
Est. total150.5
Line O/U153.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabare 0–0–1 Trouville
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 76-64 | Tabare |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trouville | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1178 | 993 | 26 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1185 | 1048 | 26 |
| 3 | Verdirrojo | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1098 | 1017 | 24 |
| 4 | Stockolmo | 13 | 9 | 4 | 983 | 881 | 22 |
| 5 | Tabare | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1140 | 1066 | 22 |
| 6 | Sayago | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1103 | 1093 | 21 |
| 7 | Lagomar | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1061 | 1100 | 21 |
| 8 | Urupan de Pando | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1026 | 1023 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabare | Trouville |
|---|---|---|
| Sayago | 86-91 L | 38-30 W |
| Olivol Mundial | 74-58 W | 87-78 W |
| Olimpia | 69-66 W | 81-93 L |
| Stockolmo | 80-70 W | 54-50 W |
| Marne | 72-67 W | 73-74 L |
| Colon | 98-53 W | 81-64 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabare (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabare
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-78 | L |
| 29/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-100 | L |
| 25/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
86-91 | L |
| 22/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
64-76 | L |
| 18/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-58 | W |
| 15/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-66 | W |
| 10/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-80 | W |
| 07/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
80-70 | W |
| 04/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
72-67 | W |
| 30/06 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
98-53 | W |
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
38-30 | W |
| 28/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-93 | L |
| 22/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-64 | W |
| 18/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-50 | W |
| 15/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-74 | L |
| 11/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-64 | W |
| 08/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-67 | W |
| 05/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-80 | W |
| 30/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
111-60 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabare vs Trouville?
Our model gives 61% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Tabare vs Trouville?
The model estimates 150.5 total points (Tabare 73.3 · Trouville 77.2).