Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 01/08, 01:15
Prediction: Trouville vs Sayago
Team pages: Trouville · Sayago
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.1Total
Trouville84.8
Sayago75.4
1X2
Trouville
Sayago
Recent form · 10 last
Trouville
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Sayago
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trouville
5–1
Sayago
(6 last)
- Sayago79-93Trouville
- Trouville88-82Sayago
- Sayago60-88Trouville
- Sayago69-90Trouville
- Trouville90-74Sayago
- Trouville85-87Sayago
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trouville 1585 · Sayago 1529
| Trouville | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.1 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +5.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.1Trouville 84.8 · Sayago 75.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trouville (rating 1585 vs 1529).
- Trouville is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Trouville: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trouville | Sayago | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.9 / 72.1 | 82.6 / 76.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.2 / 71.8 | 80.4 / 77.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 75 |
Est. total160.1
Line O/U154.5
Diff.5.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trouville 5–0–1 Sayago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Sayago | 79-93 | Trouville |
| 14/01/20 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 88-82 | Sayago |
| 02/11/19 Uruguay Liga | Sayago | 60-88 | Trouville |
| 05/01/19 Uruguay Liga | Sayago | 69-90 | Trouville |
| 17/10/18 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 90-74 | Sayago |
| 12/10/16 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 85-87 | Sayago |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1101 | 979 | 24 |
| 2 | Trouville | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1106 | 929 | 24 |
| 3 | Stockolmo | 13 | 9 | 4 | 983 | 881 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdirrojo | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1020 | 945 | 22 |
| 5 | Tabare | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1068 | 988 | 21 |
| 6 | Sayago | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1039 | 1021 | 20 |
| 7 | Lagomar | 13 | 7 | 6 | 992 | 1016 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1142 | 1075 | 20 |
| 9 | Urupan de Pando | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1026 | 1023 | 20 |
| 10 | Larre Borges | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1043 | 1047 | 19 |
| 11 | Marne | 13 | 3 | 10 | 943 | 1068 | 16 |
| 12 | Olivol Mundial | 13 | 3 | 10 | 868 | 982 | 16 |
| 13 | Albatros | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1008 | 1168 | 15 |
| 14 | Colon | 13 | 1 | 12 | 901 | 1118 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trouville | Sayago |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia | 81-93 L | 78-90 L |
| Tabare | 76-64 W | 91-86 W |
| Stockolmo | 54-50 W | 66-75 L |
| Marne | 73-74 L | 77-73 W |
| Colon | 81-64 W | 90-63 W |
| Albatros | 103-67 W | 87-72 W |
| Larre Borges | 97-80 W | 77-60 W |
| Lagomar | 111-60 W | 88-90 L |
| Montevideo | 96-91 W | 90-83 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 2 L | 6 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Trouville (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-78 | W |
| 25/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-93 | L |
| 22/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-64 | W |
| 18/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-50 | W |
| 15/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-74 | L |
| 11/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
81-64 | W |
| 08/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
103-67 | W |
| 05/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-80 | W |
| 30/06 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
111-60 | W |
| 24/06 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
96-91 | W |
Sayago
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-90 | L |
| 25/07 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
91-86 | W |
| 21/07 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
66-75 | L |
| 18/07 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-73 | W |
| 14/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-63 | W |
| 11/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-72 | W |
| 08/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
77-60 | W |
| 05/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
88-90 | L |
| 01/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-83 | W |
| 25/06 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
82-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trouville vs Sayago?
Our model gives 75% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Trouville vs Sayago?
The model estimates 160.1 total points (Trouville 84.8 · Sayago 75.4).