Basketball · Greece A1 Women · 07/11, 10:45

Prediction: PAOK (W) vs Athinaikos (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

151.9Total

PAOK (W)68.4

Athinaikos (W)83.5

1X2

14% 86%

PAOK (W) Athinaikos (W)

Recent form · 10 last

PAOK (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLWL

Athinaikos (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

PAOK (W) 2–4 Athinaikos (W) (6 last)

Athinaikos (W)90-68PAOK (W)
PAOK (W)63-87Athinaikos (W)
PAOK (W)55-84Athinaikos (W)
Athinaikos (W)105-62PAOK (W)
Athinaikos (W)53-72PAOK (W)
PAOK (W)77-54Athinaikos (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PAOK (W) 1495 · Athinaikos (W) 1610

	PAOK (W)	Athinaikos (W)
Our model	46%	54%
Market	6%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 151.9 points · Bet365 line 151.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points151.9PAOK (W) 68.4 · Athinaikos (W) 83.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athinaikos (W) (rating 1495 vs 1610).
Athinaikos (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Athinaikos (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	PAOK (W)	Athinaikos (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.3 / 80.7	86.7 / 59.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	64.8 / 74	95.8 / 58
Est. result	68	84

Est. total151.9

Line O/U151.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

117.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+24.5)1.83

2 (-24.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 150.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.4%

Time*	1	2
12:21 +31’	17.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PAOK (W) 2–0–4 Athinaikos (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Greece A1 Women	Athinaikos (W)	90-68	PAOK (W)
12/10/25 Greece A1 Women	PAOK (W)	63-87	Athinaikos (W)
06/01/25 Greece A1 Women	PAOK (W)	55-84	Athinaikos (W)
13/10/24 Greece A1 Women	Athinaikos (W)	105-62	PAOK (W)
25/02/24 Greece A1 Women	Athinaikos (W)	53-72	PAOK (W)
04/11/23 Greece A1 Women	PAOK (W)	77-54	Athinaikos (W)

Standings · Greece A1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athinaikos (W)	5	5	0	479	290	10
2	Olympiacos (W)	5	4	1	407	301	9
3	Panathinaikos BC (W)	5	4	1	446	346	9
4	PAS Giannina (W)	5	3	2	349	366	8
5	AEO Proteas Voulas (W)	5	3	2	374	377	8
6	Panathlitikos (W)	5	3	2	368	364	8
7	PAOK (W)	5	2	3	324	370	7
8	Panseraikos (W)	5	2	3	349	408	7
9	Kronos Agiou Dimitriou Women	5	2	3	316	399	7
10	Aris Thessaloniki (W)	5	1	4	371	364	6
11	Panthers Kavala (W)	5	1	4	316	437	6
12	Amyntas (W)	5	0	5	312	389	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PAOK (W)	Athinaikos (W)
Olympiacos (W)	69-65 W	85-75 W
Panathlitikos (W)	64-75 L	79-73 W
Panathinaikos BC (W)	52-91 L	44-36 W
Panseraikos (W)	65-86 L	95-62 W
Amyntas (W)	90-86 W	108-64 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Athinaikos (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PAOK (W)

LWWWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	AEO Proteas Voulas (W) Greece A1 Women	69-71	L
25/10	Olympiacos (W) Greece A1 Women	69-65	W
18/10	Panathlitikos (W) Greece A1 Women	64-75	L
11/10	Aris Thessaloniki (W) Greece A1 Women	70-68	W
04/10	Panathinaikos BC (W) Greece A1 Women	52-91	L
07/03	Panseraikos (W) Greece A1 Women	65-86	L
01/03	Amyntas (W) Greece A1 Women	90-86	W
22/02	Eskd Neas Ionias (W) Greece A1 Women	95-83	W
18/02	Panathlitikos (W) Greece A1 Women	92-91	W
15/02	Panathinaikos BC (W) Greece A1 Women	77-91	L

Athinaikos (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Kronos Agiou Dimitriou Women Greece A1 Women	90-47	W
25/10	Amyntas (W) Greece A1 Women	108-64	W
17/10	Panseraikos (W) Greece A1 Women	95-62	W
10/10	PAS Giannina (W) Greece A1 Women	92-62	W
04/10	Panthers Kavala (W) Greece A1 Women	94-55	W
15/04	Panathinaikos BC (W) Greece A1 Women	44-36	W
21/03	Panathlitikos (W) Greece A1 Women	79-73	W
07/03	Panathlitikos (W) Greece A1 Women	86-71	W
01/03	Anorthosis Volou (W) Greece A1 Women	94-52	W
22/02	Olympiacos (W) Greece A1 Women	85-75	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PAOK (W) vs Athinaikos (W)?

Our model gives 86% to Athinaikos (W).

How many points are expected in PAOK (W) vs Athinaikos (W)?

The model estimates 151.9 total points (PAOK (W) 68.4 · Athinaikos (W) 83.5).