Basketball · Spain Liga Women · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: Ensino Lugo (W) vs Valencia (W)

Team pages: Ensino Lugo (W) · Valencia (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

149Total

Ensino Lugo (W)72.7

Valencia (W)76.3

1X2

40% 60%

Ensino Lugo (W) Valencia (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Ensino Lugo (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Valencia (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ensino Lugo (W) 1–5 Valencia (W) (6 last)

Valencia (W)73-70Ensino Lugo (W)
Ensino Lugo (W)72-85Valencia (W)
Valencia (W)62-70Ensino Lugo (W)
Valencia (W)83-72Ensino Lugo (W)
Ensino Lugo (W)75-78Valencia (W)
Valencia (W)86-69Ensino Lugo (W)

Model analysis

Estimated points149Ensino Lugo (W) 72.7 · Valencia (W) 76.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valencia (W) (rating 1405 vs 1567).
H2H favours Valencia (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ensino Lugo (W)	Valencia (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	69.5 / 77.7	78.6 / 68.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	63.6 / 77	81.4 / 66.4
Est. result	73	76

Est. total149

Line O/U146.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 146.51.84

Under 146.51.83

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 147.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.58 → 6.58	Pinn 6.58
2	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	2
13:09 +44’	6.58	1.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ensino Lugo (W) 1–0–5 Valencia (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Spain Liga Women	Valencia (W)	73-70	Ensino Lugo (W)
30/04/26 Spain Liga Women	Ensino Lugo (W)	72-85	Valencia (W)
19/04/26 Spain Liga Women	Valencia (W)	62-70	Ensino Lugo (W)
26/03/26 Spain Copa de la Reina Women	Valencia (W)	83-72	Ensino Lugo (W)
07/01/26 Spain Liga Women	Ensino Lugo (W)	75-78	Valencia (W)
12/01/25 Spain Liga Women	Valencia (W)	86-69	Ensino Lugo (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zaragoza (W)	4	4	0	354	229	8
2	Mallorca (W)	4	4	0	320	263	8
3	Valencia (W)	4	3	1	339	265	7
4	Club Jairis (W)	4	3	1	278	232	7
5	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	4	3	1	276	238	7
6	Perfumerias Avenida (W)	4	2	2	283	278	6
7	CAB Estepona (W)	4	2	2	276	274	6
8	AE Sedis (W)	4	2	2	241	258	6
9	Uni Ferrol (W)	4	2	2	277	310	6
10	Estudiantes (W)	4	2	2	281	287	6
11	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	4	2	2	297	353	6
12	Girona (W)	4	1	3	277	292	5
13	Leganes (W)	4	1	3	254	286	5
14	Ensino Lugo (W)	4	1	3	248	312	5
15	Araski (W)	4	0	4	242	301	4
16	RC Celta (W)	4	0	4	254	319	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ensino Lugo (W)	Valencia (W)
Zaragoza (W)	64-95 L	68-67 W
Estudiantes (W)	84-79 W	99-70 W
Girona (W)	90-95 L	73-73 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Valencia (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ensino Lugo (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	64-95	L
11/10	Araski (W) Spain Liga Women	76-63	W
08/10	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	55-82	L
04/10	IDK Guipuzcoa (W) Spain Liga Women	53-72	L
03/05	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	70-73	L
30/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	72-85	L
25/04	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	84-79	W
19/04	Valencia (W) Spain Liga Women	70-62	W
12/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	90-95	L
08/04	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	61-71	L

Valencia (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	87-50	W
11/10	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	99-70	W
07/10	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	82-57	W
03/10	Mallorca (W) Spain Liga Women	71-88	L
17/05	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	68-67	W
14/05	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	81-73	W
10/05	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	73-73	D
07/05	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	67-66	W
03/05	Ensino Lugo (W) Spain Liga Women	73-70	W
30/04	Ensino Lugo (W) Spain Liga Women	85-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ensino Lugo (W) vs Valencia (W)?

Our model gives 60% to Valencia (W).

How many points are expected in Ensino Lugo (W) vs Valencia (W)?

The model estimates 149 total points (Ensino Lugo (W) 72.7 · Valencia (W) 76.3).