Basketball · Spain Liga Women · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Leganes (W) vs Araski (W)

Team pages: Leganes (W) · Araski (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

146.6Total

Leganes (W)77.2

Araski (W)69.4

1X2

71% 29%

Leganes (W) Araski (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Leganes (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWLLL

Araski (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Leganes (W) 2–4 Araski (W) (6 last)

Araski (W)40-87Leganes (W)
Leganes (W)64-70Araski (W)
Leganes (W)74-83Araski (W)
Araski (W)62-73Leganes (W)
Araski (W)88-80Leganes (W)
Leganes (W)75-80Araski (W)

Model analysis

Estimated points146.6Leganes (W) 77.2 · Araski (W) 69.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leganes (W) (rating 1491 vs 1428).
Leganes (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Araski (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Leganes (W)	Araski (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	67.1 / 73.7	66.2 / 73.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	63.4 / 75	63.8 / 75
Est. result	77	69

Est. total146.6

Line O/U134.5

Diff.12.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 134.51.81

Under 134.51.85

Diff.: 5.7 · Est. total: 140.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.14▼	Pinn 1.14
2	3.72 → 4.11▲	Pinn 4.11

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	2
17:39 +10’	1.18	3.72
21:55 +55’	1.14▼	4.12▲
08:09 +37’	1.14	4.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leganes (W) 2–0–4 Araski (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Spain Liga Women	Araski (W)	40-87	Leganes (W)
29/11/25 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	64-70	Araski (W)
04/02/23 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	74-83	Araski (W)
12/11/22 Spain Liga Women	Araski (W)	62-73	Leganes (W)
29/01/22 Spain Liga Women	Araski (W)	88-80	Leganes (W)
09/10/21 Spain Liga Women	Leganes (W)	75-80	Araski (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zaragoza (W)	4	4	0	354	229	8
2	Mallorca (W)	4	4	0	320	263	8
3	Valencia (W)	4	3	1	339	265	7
4	Club Jairis (W)	4	3	1	278	232	7
5	IDK Guipuzcoa (W)	4	3	1	276	238	7
6	Perfumerias Avenida (W)	4	2	2	283	278	6
7	CAB Estepona (W)	4	2	2	276	274	6
8	AE Sedis (W)	4	2	2	241	258	6
9	Uni Ferrol (W)	4	2	2	277	310	6
10	Estudiantes (W)	4	2	2	281	287	6
11	Gernika Bizkaia (W)	4	2	2	297	353	6
12	Girona (W)	4	1	3	277	292	5
13	Leganes (W)	4	1	3	254	286	5
14	Ensino Lugo (W)	4	1	3	248	312	5
15	Araski (W)	4	0	4	242	301	4
16	RC Celta (W)	4	0	4	254	319	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leganes (W)	Araski (W)
Club Jairis (W)	66-63 W	54-61 L
Girona (W)	63-89 L	57-67 L
Uni Ferrol (W)	68-80 L	77-82 L
Zaragoza (W)	50-73 L	59-84 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leganes (W)

LWWLDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Gernika Bizkaia (W) Spain Liga Women	79-83	L
11/10	IDK Guipuzcoa (W) Spain Liga Women	49-70	L
08/10	AE Sedis (W) Spain Liga Women	60-70	L
03/10	Club Jairis (W) Spain Liga Women	66-63	W
03/05	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	63-89	L
30/04	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	82-82	D
25/04	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	68-80	L
18/04	IDK Guipuzcoa (W) Spain Liga Women	87-61	W
11/04	Joventut Badalona (W) Spain Liga Women	67-66	W
08/04	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	50-73	L

Araski (W)

LLWLWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Girona (W) Spain Liga Women	57-67	L
11/10	Ensino Lugo (W) Spain Liga Women	63-76	L
08/10	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	45-76	L
04/10	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	77-82	L
25/04	CAB Estepona (W) Spain Liga Women	77-74	W
18/04	Uni Ferrol (W) Spain Liga Women	86-66	W
12/04	Club Jairis (W) Spain Liga Women	54-61	L
08/04	Perfumerias Avenida (W) Spain Liga Women	72-68	W
04/04	Zaragoza (W) Spain Liga Women	59-84	L
22/03	Estudiantes (W) Spain Liga Women	72-80	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leganes (W) vs Araski (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Leganes (W).

How many points are expected in Leganes (W) vs Araski (W)?

The model estimates 146.6 total points (Leganes (W) 77.2 · Araski (W) 69.4).