Basketball · France Ligue B · 13/11, 20:00

Prediction: Denain vs Caen Basket Calvados

Team pages: Denain · Caen Basket Calvados

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165.7Total

Denain86.9

Caen Basket Calvados78.8

1X2

72% 28%

Denain Caen Basket Calvados

Recent form · 10 last

Denain 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Caen Basket Calvados 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Denain 6–0 Caen Basket Calvados (6 last)

Denain87-58Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados81-83Denain
Caen Basket Calvados78-83Denain
Denain79-68Caen Basket Calvados
Denain83-69Caen Basket Calvados
Caen Basket Calvados64-81Denain

Model analysis

Estimated points165.7Denain 86.9 · Caen Basket Calvados 78.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denain (rating 1542 vs 1465).
Denain is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Denain: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Denain	Caen Basket Calvados
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.9 / 74.4	85.2 / 89.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	89.8 / 83.6	76.8 / 85.8
Est. result	87	79

Est. total165.7

Line O/U166

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1661.92

Under 1661.90

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 165.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.16	Pinn 1.16
2	4.87 → 4.87	Pinn 4.87

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	2
20:48 +4’	1.16	4.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Denain 6–0–0 Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 France Ligue B	Denain	87-58	Caen Basket Calvados
23/10/25 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	81-83	Denain
11/04/25 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	78-83	Denain
20/09/24 France Ligue B	Denain	79-68	Caen Basket Calvados
07/05/19 France Ligue B	Denain	83-69	Caen Basket Calvados
02/11/18 France Ligue B	Caen Basket Calvados	64-81	Denain

Standings · France Ligue B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antibes	8	6	2	699	662
2	Denain	8	6	2	694	620
3	Poitiers	9	6	3	793	741
4	Evreux	8	5	3	690	663
5	Orleans	8	5	3	707	663
6	Chalons-Reims	8	5	3	633	653
7	UJAP Quimper	8	5	3	645	629
8	Vichy Clermont	8	4	4	673	695
9	Blois	8	4	4	745	703
10	Aix Maurienne	8	4	4	666	700
11	Saint-Chamond	8	4	4	671	684
12	Nantes	8	4	4	647	654
13	Hyeres Toulon	8	4	4	679	701
14	Levallois Basketball	9	4	5	736	767
15	Gries-Souffel	8	3	5	664	687
16	Le Havre	8	3	5	727	705
17	Caen Basket Calvados	8	3	5	684	708
18	Rouen	8	2	6	667	706
19	Fos-sur-Mer	8	2	6	575	640
20	La Rochelle	8	2	6	686	700

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Denain	Caen Basket Calvados
Antibes	82-89 L	77-102 L
Aix Maurienne	95-77 W	95-91 W
Chalons-Reims	80-55 W	75-99 L
UJAP Quimper	75-62 W	72-81 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Denain (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Denain

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	La Rochelle France Ligue B	73-85	L
30/10	Nantes France Ligue B	96-72	W
24/10	Le Havre France Ligue B	103-95	W
20/10	Antibes France Ligue B	82-89	L
16/10	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-77	W
09/10	Levallois Basketball France Ligue B	78-71	W
02/10	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	80-55	W
25/09	Blois France Ligue B	87-76	W
19/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	60-62	L
15/05	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	75-62	W

Caen Basket Calvados

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Gries-Souffel France Ligue B	85-87	L
30/10	Antibes France Ligue B	77-102	L
23/10	Poitiers France Ligue B	74-79	L
20/10	UJAP Quimper France Ligue B	72-81	L
16/10	Vichy Clermont France Ligue B	76-80	L
09/10	Hyeres Toulon France Ligue B	90-77	W
02/10	Saint-Chamond France Ligue B	115-111	W
25/09	Aix Maurienne France Ligue B	95-91	W
15/05	Antibes France Ligue B	93-86	W
08/05	Chalons-Reims France Ligue B	75-99	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Denain vs Caen Basket Calvados?

Our model gives 72% to Denain.

How many points are expected in Denain vs Caen Basket Calvados?

The model estimates 165.7 total points (Denain 86.9 · Caen Basket Calvados 78.8).