Basketball · Portugal LBP · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: FC Porto vs SC Braga

Team pages: FC Porto · SC Braga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.1Total

FC Porto89.4

SC Braga80.8

1X2

73% 27%

FC Porto SC Braga

Recent form · 10 last

FC Porto 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWL

SC Braga 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Porto 3–0 SC Braga (3 last)

SC Braga68-82FC Porto
FC Porto98-79SC Braga
FC Porto86-72SC Braga

Model analysis

Estimated points170.1FC Porto 89.4 · SC Braga 80.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Porto (rating 1586 vs 1501).
FC Porto is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours FC Porto: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	FC Porto	SC Braga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.8 / 83.7	82.7 / 83.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.4 / 86	91.4 / 79.2
Est. result	89	81

Est. total170.1

Line O/U168.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.79

Under 168.51.81

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 169.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Pinn 1.11
2	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 14.8%

Time*	1	2
16:57	1.11	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Porto 3–0–0 SC Braga

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Portugal LBP	SC Braga	68-82	FC Porto
03/01/26 Portugal LBP	FC Porto	98-79	SC Braga
10/12/23 Portugal Cup	FC Porto	86-72	SC Braga

Standings · Portugal LBP

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ovarense	5	4	1	409	370	9
2	FC Porto	5	4	1	467	430	9
3	Sport Lisboa Benfica	5	4	1	437	375	9
4	SC Braga	5	4	1	457	396	9
5	CD Povoa	5	3	2	372	359	8
6	Oliveirense	4	3	1	375	363	7
7	Sporting CP	5	2	3	400	405	7
8	Vitoria SC	5	2	3	368	403	7
9	CA Queluz	4	2	2	356	375	6
10	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	431	446	6
11	Portimonense SC	5	0	5	380	443	5
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	388	475	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Porto	SC Braga
Ovarense	76-78 L	83-96 L
Sport Lisboa Benfica	93-86 W	79-94 L
Sporting CP	94-86 W	98-86 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Porto (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Porto

WLWWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Ovarense Portugal LBP	76-78	L
25/10	CAB Madeira Portugal LBP	93-82	W
16/10	Esgueira Portugal LBP	95-91	W
11/10	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	93-86	W
02/10	CA Queluz Portugal LBP	110-93	W
14/06	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	75-71	W
12/06	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	87-63	W
09/06	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	102-98	W
07/06	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	73-89	L
31/05	Sporting CP Portugal LBP	94-86	W

SC Braga

LLWLLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Sporting CP Portugal LBP	98-86	W
25/10	CD Povoa Portugal LBP	80-71	W
18/10	Vitoria SC Portugal LBP	91-72	W
11/10	Portimonense SC Portugal LBP	105-71	W
03/10	Ovarense Portugal LBP	83-96	L
13/05	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	79-94	L
09/05	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	72-90	L
25/04	Ovarense Portugal LBP	74-67	W
18/04	FC Porto Portugal LBP	68-82	L
11/04	Sport Lisboa Benfica Portugal LBP	77-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Porto vs SC Braga?

Our model gives 73% to FC Porto.

How many points are expected in FC Porto vs SC Braga?

The model estimates 170.1 total points (FC Porto 89.4 · SC Braga 80.8).