Basketball · Lebanon FLB · 28/07, 20:30
Prediction: Sagesse vs Al Riyadi Beirut
Team pages: Sagesse · Al Riyadi Beirut
Prediction summary
Estimated points
182.8Total
Sagesse92.8
Al Riyadi Beirut90
1X2
Sagesse
Al Riyadi Beirut
Recent form · 10 last
Sagesse
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Al Riyadi Beirut
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagesse
2–4
Al Riyadi Beirut
(6 last)
- Al Riyadi Beirut87-85Sagesse
- Sagesse101-96Al Riyadi Beirut
- Al Riyadi Beirut92-89Sagesse
- Sagesse86-94Al Riyadi Beirut
- Sagesse105-91Al Riyadi Beirut
- Al Riyadi Beirut122-114Sagesse
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sagesse 1542 · Al Riyadi Beirut 1590
| Sagesse | Al Riyadi Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
182.8 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · +4.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points182.8Sagesse 92.8 · Al Riyadi Beirut 90
Match keys
- H2H favours Al Riyadi Beirut: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sagesse | Al Riyadi Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.5 / 85.6 | 95.9 / 79.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.8 / 86.6 | 95.6 / 84.2 |
| Est. result | 93 | 90 |
Est. total182.8
Line O/U178.5
Diff.4.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagesse 2–0–4 Al Riyadi Beirut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Lebanon FLB | Al Riyadi Beirut | 87-85 | Sagesse |
| 24/07/26 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 101-96 | Al Riyadi Beirut |
| 22/07/26 Lebanon FLB | Al Riyadi Beirut | 92-89 | Sagesse |
| 30/05/26 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 86-94 | Al Riyadi Beirut |
| 14/01/26 West Asia Super League | Sagesse | 105-91 | Al Riyadi Beirut |
| 03/01/26 Lebanon FLB | Al Riyadi Beirut | 122-114 | Sagesse |
Standings · Lebanon FLB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Riyadi Beirut | 22 | 21 | 1 | 2311 | 1940 | 43 |
| 2 | Sagesse | 22 | 18 | 4 | 2251 | 2016 | 40 |
| 3 | Hoops | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1885 | 1804 | 36 |
| 4 | Antonine | 22 | 13 | 9 | 2008 | 1869 | 35 |
| 5 | Antranik | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1936 | 1840 | 35 |
| 6 | Central | 22 | 13 | 9 | 1976 | 1830 | 35 |
| 7 | Homenetmen | 22 | 11 | 11 | 2109 | 2132 | 33 |
| 8 | Beirut Club | 22 | 10 | 12 | 1927 | 1885 | 32 |
| 9 | Chabeb Batroun | 22 | 7 | 15 | 1772 | 1911 | 29 |
| 10 | Nadim Souaid Academy | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1883 | 2066 | 28 |
| 11 | CS Maristes | 22 | 5 | 17 | 1859 | 2161 | 27 |
| 12 | Club Tadamon Hrajel | 22 | 1 | 21 | 1658 | 2121 | 23 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagesse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
85-87 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
101-96 | W |
| 22/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
89-92 | L |
| 18/07 | Central Lebanon FLB |
95-83 | W |
| 15/07 | Central Lebanon FLB |
74-75 | L |
| 13/07 | Central Lebanon FLB |
100-93 | W |
| 11/07 | Central Lebanon FLB |
88-75 | W |
| 13/06 | Homenetmen Lebanon FLB |
99-97 | W |
| 10/06 | Homenetmen Lebanon FLB |
106-60 | W |
| 06/06 | Homenetmen Lebanon FLB |
118-98 | W |
Al Riyadi Beirut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
87-85 | W |
| 24/07 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
96-101 | L |
| 22/07 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
92-89 | W |
| 17/07 | Antonine Lebanon FLB |
90-65 | W |
| 14/07 | Antonine Lebanon FLB |
113-81 | W |
| 12/07 | Antonine Lebanon FLB |
74-57 | W |
| 10/07 | Antonine Lebanon FLB |
72-76 | L |
| 14/06 | Beirut Club Lebanon FLB |
130-89 | W |
| 11/06 | Beirut Club Lebanon FLB |
107-83 | W |
| 04/06 | Beirut Club Lebanon FLB |
98-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagesse vs Al Riyadi Beirut?
Our model gives 58% to Sagesse.
How many points are expected in Sagesse vs Al Riyadi Beirut?
The model estimates 182.8 total points (Sagesse 92.8 · Al Riyadi Beirut 90).