Basketball · Japan B League One · 14/11, 07:05

Prediction: Koshigaya Alphas vs Fukushima Fire Bonds

Team pages: Koshigaya Alphas · Fukushima Fire Bonds

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166Total

Koshigaya Alphas87.7

Fukushima Fire Bonds78.3

1X2

75% 25%

Koshigaya Alphas Fukushima Fire Bonds

Recent form · 10 last

Koshigaya Alphas 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWLW

Fukushima Fire Bonds 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Koshigaya Alphas 4–2 Fukushima Fire Bonds (6 last)

Fukushima Fire Bonds75-101Koshigaya Alphas
Fukushima Fire Bonds94-101Koshigaya Alphas
Fukushima Fire Bonds76-89Koshigaya Alphas
Fukushima Fire Bonds84-80Koshigaya Alphas
Koshigaya Alphas81-83Fukushima Fire Bonds
Koshigaya Alphas75-54Fukushima Fire Bonds

Model analysis

Estimated points166Koshigaya Alphas 87.7 · Fukushima Fire Bonds 78.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koshigaya Alphas (rating 1599 vs 1500).
Koshigaya Alphas is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Koshigaya Alphas: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Koshigaya Alphas	Fukushima Fire Bonds
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.4 / 74.3	83.9 / 86.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.2 / 78.8	79.6 / 81.2
Est. result	88	78

Est. total166

Line O/U169

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1691.85

Under 1691.81

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 165.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.10▼	Pinn 1.10
2	3.92 → 4.62▲	Pinn 4.62

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	2
07:28 +18’	1.16	3.92
08:46 +1’	1.10▼	4.62▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Koshigaya Alphas 4–0–2 Fukushima Fire Bonds

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/24 Japan B League One	Fukushima Fire Bonds	75-101	Koshigaya Alphas
06/04/24 Japan B League One	Fukushima Fire Bonds	94-101	Koshigaya Alphas
10/03/24 Japan B League One	Fukushima Fire Bonds	76-89	Koshigaya Alphas
09/03/24 Japan B League One	Fukushima Fire Bonds	84-80	Koshigaya Alphas
24/12/23 Japan B League One	Koshigaya Alphas	81-83	Fukushima Fire Bonds
23/12/23 Japan B League One	Koshigaya Alphas	75-54	Fukushima Fire Bonds

Standings · Japan B League One · Northern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Koshigaya Alphas	15	13	2	1334	1109	26
2	Iwate Big Bulls	14	9	5	1136	1062	18
3	Fukushima Fire Bonds	15	8	7	1324	1319	16
4	Aomori Wat's	15	4	11	1233	1373	8
5	Yamagata Wyverns	16	2	14	1184	1438	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Koshigaya Alphas	Fukushima Fire Bonds
Earth Friends Tokyo Z	93-65 W	94-69 W
Fighting Eagles Nagoya	75-70 W	74-100 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Koshigaya Alphas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Koshigaya Alphas

LWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Yokohama Excellence Japan B League One	103-97	W
07/11	Yokohama Excellence Japan B League One	88-92	L
01/11	Kumamoto Volters Japan B League One	85-68	W
31/10	Kumamoto Volters Japan B League One	89-79	W
25/10	Yamagata Wyverns Japan B League One	106-58	W
24/10	Yamagata Wyverns Japan B League One	83-67	W
18/10	Earth Friends Tokyo Z Japan B League One	93-65	W
17/10	Earth Friends Tokyo Z Japan B League One	77-67	W
14/10	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League One	75-70	W
11/10	Iwate Big Bulls Japan B League One	75-80	L

Fukushima Fire Bonds

WLLWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Earth Friends Tokyo Z Japan B League One	94-69	W
07/11	Earth Friends Tokyo Z Japan B League One	72-67	W
04/11	Niigata Albirex Japan B League One	78-81	L
01/11	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League One	74-100	L
31/10	Fighting Eagles Nagoya Japan B League One	80-89	L
25/10	Aomori Wat's Japan B League One	110-91	W
24/10	Aomori Wat's Japan B League One	86-81	W
18/10	Tokushima Gambarous Japan B League One	72-99	L
17/10	Tokushima Gambarous Japan B League One	79-97	L
11/10	Gifu Swoops Japan B League One	94-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Koshigaya Alphas vs Fukushima Fire Bonds?

Our model gives 75% to Koshigaya Alphas.

How many points are expected in Koshigaya Alphas vs Fukushima Fire Bonds?

The model estimates 166 total points (Koshigaya Alphas 87.7 · Fukushima Fire Bonds 78.3).