Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 13/11, 05:05
Prediction: Shinshu Brave Warriors vs Gunma Crane Thunders
Team pages: Shinshu Brave Warriors · Gunma Crane Thunders
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.2Total
Shinshu Brave Warriors79
Gunma Crane Thunders87.2
1X2
Shinshu Brave Warriors
Gunma Crane Thunders
Recent form · 10 last
Shinshu Brave Warriors
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Gunma Crane Thunders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shinshu Brave Warriors
1–5
Gunma Crane Thunders
(6 last)
- Gunma Crane Thunders89-85Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Gunma Crane Thunders86-83Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Shinshu Brave Warriors63-71Gunma Crane Thunders
- Shinshu Brave Warriors80-55Gunma Crane Thunders
- Gunma Crane Thunders66-65Shinshu Brave Warriors
- Gunma Crane Thunders90-87Shinshu Brave Warriors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shinshu Brave Warriors 1480 · Gunma Crane Thunders 1547
| Shinshu Brave Warriors | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.2 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.2Shinshu Brave Warriors 79 · Gunma Crane Thunders 87.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gunma Crane Thunders (rating 1480 vs 1547).
- Gunma Crane Thunders is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Shinshu Brave Warriors | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.9 / 88.4 | 83.9 / 76 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 82.2 | 91.4 / 70.6 |
| Est. result | 79 | 87 |
Est. total166.2
Line O/U163.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinshu Brave Warriors 1–0–5 Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 89-85 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 06/04/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 86-83 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 09/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 63-71 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 08/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 80-55 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 12/12/21 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 66-65 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
| 11/12/21 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 90-87 | Shinshu Brave Warriors |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1094 | 903 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1356 | 1214 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1175 | 1049 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 963 | 910 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1251 | 1193 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1254 | 1228 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1177 | 1142 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1198 | 1243 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1352 | 1390 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1311 | 1393 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1200 | 1297 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1095 | 1333 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 15 | 1 | 14 | 1044 | 1364 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shinshu Brave Warriors | Gunma Crane Thunders |
|---|---|---|
| Mikawa Seahorses | 86-91 L | 90-83 W |
| Utsunomiya Brex | 80-87 L | 80-83 L |
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 77-92 L | 87-76 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gunma Crane Thunders (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinshu Brave Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
86-91 | L |
| 08/11 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
101-96 | W |
| 01/11 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
67-65 | W |
| 30/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
80-72 | W |
| 26/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
97-87 | W |
| 24/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-87 | L |
| 21/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
90-97 | L |
| 19/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
77-92 | L |
| 17/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
95-102 | L |
| 12/10 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
76-95 | L |
Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
87-76 | W |
| 06/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
90-83 | W |
| 01/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
102-60 | W |
| 31/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
93-60 | W |
| 26/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-74 | W |
| 23/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
85-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
86-100 | L |
| 12/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
72-61 | W |
| 10/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
59-70 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinshu Brave Warriors vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
Our model gives 72% to Gunma Crane Thunders.
How many points are expected in Shinshu Brave Warriors vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
The model estimates 166.2 total points (Shinshu Brave Warriors 79 · Gunma Crane Thunders 87.2).